View Latest results
36.3%
28.0%

18/05/2016 - ADELAIDE - Race 2
LEMON ZEST

Signup to our mailing list

 

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the two big southern cards. There's plenty of value scattered about the place with a couple that look nailed on in Melbourne. The maestro was draining his 117th glass when I left him yesterday, so he may be along just a little later than usual but he'll be worth the wait. I think we can take these layers of odds to task. Enjoy the day!

 

NO VALLEY COVERAGE!

The Guffmeister will be spending his afternoon at Friday prayers, and thus we will not be covering this evening's Moonee Valley card!

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

A couple of important scratchings have seen me downgrade this from the bet midweeker I've seen in 10 years to just an okay midweek card. There's still a bit there. Log on and have a look.

 

GUFF UP FOR SOUTHERN STATES!!!

A cracking day looms and I think we've got some real opportunities scattered all over the place. And that's before the maestro joins in with his northern gems. But time is on the wing and there's not a moment to lose. Don't tarry, shilly shally, or demur. Log on and see the good oil for yourself. 

 

FARM LOOKING GOOD!!!

One of the collateral benefits of this time of year is that the quality of the Saturday fields herds some very good horses back to the midweekers, and even the provincials. (Yesterday's Wyong meeting for instance was of midweek city standard). We've got a very interesting meeting at the Farm today with a number of promising horses. I won't be surprised if a couple of them aren't contesting big plums later in the Spring down in Melbourne. We get a chance to get in early before their stocks rise and the value disappears. Log on and see for yourself. 

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE AND BRISVEGAS NOT FAR AWAY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the big Sydney and Melbourne cards. There's plenty of value there and I think you'll like what you see - at least at this stage. I've taken a peek and the maestro isn't far away, either. Log on and see. It's a big weekend of football in both codes, so get the pelf today, stock the fridge, and enjoy it all.

 

GUFF UP WITH THE BREAK OF DAY FOR BIG MIDWEEKERS!!!

You'll notice the dew is still glistening on the nascent Spring leaves and the kookaburras continue to sing their cheerful morning song, yet the midweek Guff is already delivered. You can digest today's thoughts over your Italian coffee and bacon and egg roll. It really does look a very interesting midweeker. You'll note at Canterbury we've assessed things as if the track were in the good/dead range, despite the official reading being a 7. The facts are that the track was given out as a 7 this time yesterday. The temperature got to 22 degrees in Sydney yesterday and we're expected to believe it is still a 7. Let's just say I don't believe it. They'll upgrade the surface incrementally during the day, talk about the track's amazing recuperative powers and give a big shout out to the almost magical powers of the track manager, instead of calling for his lazy head. That aside, we're in big time today. Enjoy it.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

It looks a very interesting day with loads of value across the board and a couple of very good bets. And that's before the maestro has chimed into the backline with his northern gems, although as you'll see, he's dipped his finger into the honeypot down south. Log on and read for yourself. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP!!!

Nick Kyrgios, who was moving like Douglas "Tin legs" Bader 20 minutes ago is now rnning like a gazelle and has taken the second set. You'll know what that means when you log on. The rest is self-explanatory.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for all 3 states. There's a lot of difficult races, but they're interspersed with some real opportunity. I think we can win today. Of course, we've still got the maestro up the sleeve and he's picking the eyes out of the northern card even as we speak. He was in fine form yesterday, doing some actuarial work and decreeing that there's an outstanding chance that I've consumed more the Cooper family's small bottles than anyone else on the planet. Not that it's anything to be proud of, but it gives me a warm feeling to know I excel at something. If we can get a couple of the best bets home this afernoon I will be knocking off the shiny red tops and sending the spinning across the floor as I work on improving my tally. A bit of housekeeping, we haven't entered the best bets results for the new season yet. You can see how incredibly busy we've been. I will do that over the weekend. Enjoy a good day's racing. 

NO WARWICK FARM COVERAGE!!!

The track has already been downgraded from a 5 to a 7 and there's two hours before the first is due to be run. The meeting will either be called off, or run on a quagmire. Either way, it's not a card we want to concern ourselves with. There's a wee bit there at Sandown and that should keep the pot boiling until Saturday. Enjoy the day.

GUFF UP FOR SANDOWN!!!

Guff for a good Sandown card is now available to subscribers. There are a few decent bets there, but all unfortunately fall short of best bet status. I also think there's a bit of value in a couple of the other races and - typically of a Winter midweeker, some absolute schlock. In case you're unaware, biblical rain is tipped for Sydney with newts and frogs expected to tumble from the sky as 90m of rain inundates the great city of lights. The question is when. We're deferring  putting anything up for a couple of hours to get a better line on the state of the track and, indeed, whether the meeting will proceed at all. Regardless, Melbourne is the superior betting venue and keep in mind that Saturday threatens to be a humdinger. We'll get back to you later in the morning.

 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers. We see the return of champion mare Winx and a couple of very interesting races for the new season 3yos. It should be an instructive day. There's a wee bit of value scattered across all 3  states with one carrying the imperial seal of Reserve Bank governor Glen Stephens. Log on and take a peek. We're fighting fit today! Take the hint.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for an okay Wednesday. No standouts, but plenty of value scattered about the place if you want to chance your arm on a small scale. We're already limbering up for Saturday after last weekend had that whiff of the old days, like we almost knew what we were doing. Don't be scared, everything is going to be fine.

 

GUFF AVAILABLE FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

An exciting day's racing awaits with the resumption of some classy 3yos in both states and an interesting WFA event in Melbourne. We're on a mission to nail quaddies and B6s today, so gird your loins!

 

MIDWEEK GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for Canterbury and Sandown. It's not a day for good things but there looks to be a bit of value spread across both venues, making it an interesting day. Log on and see for yourself.

 

TRACK OK FOR GINGER BOY!!!

The times in the first couple of races suggest the track is firm enough for GINGER BOY in the National. He's out to 3.1 now and you may even get better. Go do that voodoo that you do so well.

 

GUFF UP FOR GRAND NATIONAL DAY!!!

Not the ideal start to the new season yesterday. While I think this is mostly a terrible betting day I always enjoy the Grand National. This is a day for raising a glass and celebrating the jumpers. We will get our money back soon enough. 

 

 

GUFF FOR ALL THREE STATES NOW AVAILABLE!

We're all sorted now. I can assure you there was none of the perfectionism the maestro alluded to. I'm a bit ring rusty, but I do think it isn't a bad betting day all in all. It's really nice to be doing this again. Let's make it a year to remember.

 

GUFF UP FOR BRISVEGAS!!!

With the Guffmeister's masterpiece delayed by his tortured perfectionism, in something of a role reversal the Brisvegas Guff is available first for subscribers to peruse at their leisure. The Guff for the southern capitals will be published in due course. Enjoy the day.

 

SEASON OPENER DELAYED!!!

The much anticipated first Guff of the new season will be delayed until Saturday. The monsoons have swept into Sydney and an already unimaginative, drab and indecipherable card will now be run on a heavy 10. Our first aim is to make money. If we're not confident we can do that, we will tell you. Your time will be better spent this afternoon. Saturday will be a vastly different kettle of fish with the first smell of wattlebrush in the nostrils and Spring in the air as a few of the good horses start to dribble back. It's good to be back. We're very much looking forward to Saturday, but for now we will keep the powder dry. Stay out of the rain.

 

FINAL GUFF OF THE SEASON NOW AVAILABLE!!!

It's been a long season and it's not exactly ending with a stellar couple of cards. Still, there's a bit there. And a bit of discussion about who we are and where we are going. Log on and see for yourselves.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

It's a bit of a curate's egg today. (I've always hated that expression, much preferring the great John Arlott's description of the Kiwi medium pacer Bob Cunis, "his bowling like his name, neither one thing nor the other". I think there are plenty of winners there but a lot of truly awful races as well, with nothing in between. In one way, that makes it easy. The maestro will be along just a later in the morning. On your toes, now.

 

GUFF UP FOR DRAB MIDWEEKER!!!

Apologies for another drab midweeker, but it is that time of the year. We're heading towards the Winter hibernation, but just remember the bear emerges from the cave after the hibernation and stands upstream swiping the salmon as they leap past. It's called the circle of life or something. There are a couple of wee chances there today to make money so you better log on and have a look. I did go to the trouble of getting up in the middle of the night to craft this, after all. Oh, and I've got Qld going for a little something at 6.5 to do the clean sweep, so go the Maroons!

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Hooray! I think we have a very nice card at Rosehill this afternoon unless the rain starts to tumble earlier than expected. It shouldn't and if we can hold the ground to the current slow 6, I think all will be well. There's a couple at nice odds down south as well. The maestro has the treachery of Ipswich to deal with, but even believes he can find us a couple of winners to leap put from behind the XXXX castle. It's been pointed out that I erroneously fingered former England player Gary Linneker for the crackpot views on reincarnation on Wednesday, when it was in fact his great chum Glenn Hoddle. I confused myself when I saw Father Ted reading Linneker's ghost stories book. (That was in fact a joke about a court case where Harry Kewell sued Linneker for defamation over a newspaper column and Linneker blamed it on his ghost writer. There you are then. I do think there is a bit there today. Log on and see for yourself. Enjoy the day.

GUFF UP FOR HOLIDAY MONDAY!!!

There's only the one meeting today at Canterbury, we've declined to cover the Mornington card. There's a couple of nice bets at Canterbury if I've read a couple of recent events right. We'll see. Regardless, it's a nice day for a few beers in front of a screen watching them go around. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

The Brisvegas Guff has arrived right on time with the first just 20 minutes away.  The moon was high in the sky when I left the maestro and the marketing arm of the Guff last night and I did fear the worst.  Melbourne looks a good betting day, while Sydney with a couple of exceptions is an absolute shocker. Log on and pick the eyes out of them. I've been saying all week that we should all keep in mind that the maestro has come up with MR BARITONE, LINTON and RIVER LAD at cricket score odds in the Stradbroke. I have an eerie feeling he's going to bring home the bacon for us again today. You've had your warning.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

Guff for Canterbury is now available to subscribers. There are a lot of truly terrible races there today, but there are a few more than worthy of your attention. Log on and see for yourself. Remember, the big 10 race card at Eagle Farm is only a few days away with the maestro running white hot. Don't miss it!

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

With quagmires in both Sydney and Brisbane this will be a day where you need to keep your wits about you. A firmer surface down south offers a couple of opportunities. Log on and see for yourself. The maestro will be squinting at the breeding of those up north looking for antecedents foaled in swamps. He will be along after that exhaustive scrutiny is completed.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!

A track bordering on heavy and nondescript fields is an unappetising recipe. There's a little there, but not match. Roll on Saturday. Sometimes that's the way it goes. But I do think the Queenslanders are a gift at 2.0 in Origin tonight. There's our profit for the day.

 

COX PLATE ACCOMMODATION

A loyalist contacted me during the week to say he'd booked an apartment across the road from Moonee Valley for the Cox Plate meeting but he now unfortunately has another commitment and can't use the booking. The apartment is booked for three days at $500 per night and is two bedroom. If anyone is interested in taking up the booking contact us and we will pass you on to him.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for all 3 venues. They're surprisingly good cards too when you take into account we're right on the cusp of Winter. I do think we can find a few winners today. Surprisingly Brisbane has arrived bang on time!. I had lunch with the maestro yesterday. When I left the tavern the moon was high in the sky. He'd settled in and looked like he was going to be harder to dislodge than Geoffrey Boycott in his prime.Mak sure you don't miss our marvellous industry gossip today. Just watch the mainstream media goons pick it up and claim it as their own. Remember that you read it here first. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

A useful midweeker at Canterbury today, with a couple of nice bets and the odd speculator. Take a wee peek for yourself.

GUFF UP FOR RANDWICK AND I'M ABOUT TO SPRUIK!

Way back in the days when we regularly tore the ring apart, like six months ago,a fierce debate raged between ourselves and a couple of Guff loyalists who took exception to our writing "We don't spruik" just before peeling off the long list of winners we'd tipped that day. Our view was that we didn't do it immodestly and it was mostly tongue in cheek; their view was that if we were going to do it at all we should be upfront about it. Whatever's fair. I just want to say that it would be remiss to ignore the maestro's splendid performance up north last Saturday, where his best MACKINTOSK(3.2 at time of publication into 2.0 by the jump) won with a leg in the air. His value bet WINNING RUPERT(6.5) also won. He all but declared REAL LOVE(2.9) and in a piece of bravery unsurpassed, threw stones at donkey favourite ELEGANT COMPOSURE, previously a winner of 6/6. That's pretty good shooting in anyone's language. It doesn't atone for the ravages of the last six months, but it is a start. Randwick looks okay today, if you're prepared to sift through it. Guff dream girl Jamie Kah steers one in the second at Murray Bridge we've put up as a Daily Best Bet above. It should get the job done. All the girls from the spiritual home of Guff loyalists the Windsor on the Park are heading to Randwick today. My guess is that by 4pm they'll be anybody's, so if you have the afternoon off...Enjoy the day, ladies!

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now up for Scone and Caulfield. As you will see, Caulfield is a charmless meeting but I think we can hit the target at Scone. All we need is the maestro to shoot the lights out and we've got a good day. Log on and see. And enjoy the beautiful autumnal day....and for anyone with Foxtel who can't find the racing Channels....they've changed to 526 to 529. 

 

 

CANTERBURY GUFF UP!!!

Guff is up for Canterbury today. You will note that we haven't  covered the Sandown meeting, which basically looks like Echuca on a Monday. It would be ridiculous to pretend that we know anything about them, we don't. I will twist the maestro's arm and see if he's got anything up north. If so we will post it as a Daily Best Bet. Check back about midday. 

 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 4 VENUES!!!

We've got a couple of good cards in the southern states today and The Maestro has added a few thoughts on the big Adelaide meeting to his coverage of the Gold Coast card. Log on and see for yourself.

 

GUFF UP FOR LAST DAY OF THE BOOL!!!

The iconic jumps carnival hasn't been kind to us so far, but last time I counted it went for three days, not two. The Grand annual should be a fabulous race. Enjoy it.

 

DAY 2 OF THE BOOL NOW AVAILABLE!!!

What shapes as a very interesting second day of the Warrnambool carnival is dissected, analysed, vivisected and put back together with our traditional effervescent assessment. Log on and see for yourself.

KEMBLA BEST UP ABOVE!!!

This one should win. Simple as that.

 

WE'VE MISSED THE START!

A thousand pardons! I misread the times. I thought the first was at 12.20. Can't take a trick. We've missed the first two. The track is now heavy and this is now treacherous. I'm taking down the Best Bet. If anyone has backed it in the last 30 seconds, my apologies. I will put up a Daily Best Bet  at Kembla shortly. A poor start, but it is a three day carnival. We will get them.

 

 

YES, WE ARE COVERING THE BOOL!!!

In the spirit of the immortal Bernie Zarsoff's "We've had a few requests, but it is a bit hard to play with a guitar stuck up your arse," we've received enough encouragement from Bool diehards to put something up for today. Give me time to liberate my spinach and eggs and Italian coffee, after which I will get to work. Should be up by about 11.30.

 

GUFF UP!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers. It's a day I like. Log on and see. As always, the maestro will chime into the backline in his own sweet time. Enjoy the day.

 

MIDWEEK GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!

It's a strange day, with a lot of awful races that shouldn't be run on city tracks in both states and a few that will attract our interest. That's about the long and the short of it. The good things should get home, though. Enjoy your day.

 

ANZAC DAY GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!!

I've just realized there's nothing in the Guff about the Diggers and the fallen. That was remiss of me. I hope all ex-serviceman are honoured and feted and have a highly enjoyable day. It looks a pretty tough day at the track, but we've dug a couple out. You'll need to show a bit of discipline today, but there's a profit there for those who keep their nerve. Maybe that's you?

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

The carnival is over, but paradoxically this is the best Saturday betting meeting for quite some time. I really fancy our chances today. Log on and take a look for yourself. Good luck to all.

 

 

GUFF UP FOR THE MIDWEEKS!

Sandown and Canterbury Guff are now available to subscribers. There's a wee bit there to keep you interested. Log on and take a look.

 

GUFF UP FOR LAST DAY OF THE CARNIVAL!!!

The Guff is available for all 3 venues. I think we can finish the Autumn carnival with a bang. There's certainly plenty at Randwick today that appeal as remarkably over the odds. We've got good things north and south as well. I've got a good feeling about things. Log on and see why. Enjoy the day.

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

Guff is up for what looks a better-than-average midweeker. Have a look for yourself!

 

GUFF UP FOR THE BIG DAY!!!

There's no Winx, but it is still a fabulous day's racing at Randwick. Strangely, the Sandown meeting is a far superior betting venue. I am very keen on the card down there and fancy our chances strongly. The Brisvegas Guff is also available and there does look to be a bit on offer up North. Log on and see for yourself. 

 

GUFF UP FOR THE MIDWEEKERS!!!

Not a bad couple of cards at all, although you will need your wits about you at Sandown where the rain has started to tumble. But there's a few good things dotted throughout the day and a little bit of value in the mix as well. I do think it is worthy of your attention. Don't think I've reneged on the obvious mea culpa I need to make about Chautauqua. When time permits I will swallow a great dollop of humble pie. If there are any Birds for Saturday, I will put them up later. No promises, the markets have been tight in recent weeks and the best value seems to be to wait until the on  course market with its more generous betting percentage. Enjoy the day.

 

 

GUFF UP FOR DONCASTER DAY!!!

We have a pretty good record on this day and we're confident we can find a few winners again today. It really is a magnificent day's racing and if you don't enjoy it you're hard to please. If you look above you'll see we've even dug out a gem at Mornington. I should add that anything I personally win today is going on the Cowboys tonight giving away 12.5 start to the Dragons. I think they'll win by 50. When I last saw the maestro he was contemplating another large glass of ale. There's every chance he had that glass and maybe even one or two or thirty more, but he's a trouper and the Brisvegas Guff is now also available. Bon chance!

 

RED LETTER MONDAY!!!

We're a long way from spruiking but 6/8 at the Farm yesterday, two best bets and the Sydney value bet  at least suggests we might be getting the eye back in. The less said about a ridiculously biased Sandown track where a horse had no chance unless it got wide in the straight, the better. That gives us three consecutive winning best bets, which I'm sure you will agree leaves us way short of where we need to be. You won't hear another word from us until that streak hits 10 in a row. There's two bush meetings tomorrow so we're going to grab the opportunity to take the day off. We've only got eyes for the first day of the Championships on Saturday in any case. Enjoy your day.

 

I REALLY WASN'T EXPECTING THIS!!!

I really wasn't expecting this but today looks a sensational betting day in both states. We have to call them as we see them and there truly look to be any number of very good bets. Log on and see for yourself, take a deep breath and gird your loins.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the southern states on what looks a fascinating day's racing. I've had a peek and the maestro has a draft well under way. I'm sweating on him because while there is plenty of value in Sydney and Melbourne we have no good things. I'd love the man up north to come to the party. Let's see. He should be along soon.Enjoy the day.

 

HOLY THURSDAY GUFF UP!!!

We're planning to rise from the dead ourselves this Easter. The Valley tonight may not be a good place to start but there is a bit of value there. The real action is on Easter Saturday, but log on and see for yourself.

 

GUFF UP FOR SANDOWN!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for a very tough Sandown card. There is one good thing there, though. Log on and see.

GUFF UP FOR SLIPPER DAY!!!

A spectacular 10 race card awaits us at Rosehill and I for one can't wait. There's some truly amazing value there and a good thing in the big race for the babies. Bendigo and Brisvegas are more tricky, but if you handle it cleverly there's a bit there.  Enjoy what should be a great day's racing!

 

MIDWEEK GUFF UP!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for Sandown and the big Newcastle card. It looks a pretty good day. Log on and see for yourself.

 

A LITTLE TIP FOR THE ADELAIDE CUP!!!

We've got a sneaky liking for LUCQUES in the Adelaide Cup today. He's way over the odds at 14.0 and definitely worth something. Mightn't be a bad way to start the week.

 

 

GUFF UP FOR SUPER SATURDAY!!!

A great day's racing awaits and Guff is now available to subscribers for the two cards. We've got plenty of firm opinions, as you'll see. It mightn't be a bad day to be with us. Enjoy the day.

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for a good looking Warwick Farm meeting. There look a few stellar bets there today. You'll see we've posted JUNGLE SUN above as a good thing at Ballarat, so we've got plenty there. We'll be putting up some Birds for the big day on Saturday later this afternoon. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Aren't you privileged? This is the dawning of the renaissance of the Guff. Log on for Sydney and Melbourne with an awe inspiring Brisvegas analysis to follow. Enjoy the day.

 

EARLY BIRDS ARE UP!!!

You'll find a trio of Early Birds that we expect to definitely firm before Saturday right below the last at Canterbury today. Be quick about them!

 

GUFF UP FOR WEDNESDAY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for today. There's a couple of good things and a lot of schlock. You know what to do. We'll try again for a couple of Birds this afternoon, after being too closely marked the past fortnight. I do think the sun is about to come out and not before time.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

Guff is up for a big day. It's difficult and you will need your wits about you, but there's a bit of value there if we hit the target. I'm hoping the maestro has a couple nailed on up north for us. It should be a great day's racing. Enjoy it.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE VALLEY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the Valley tonight. We like the first and the last with nothing in between. Again, we have no Birds. It's not that we don't fancy anything for tomorrow but similar to last week nothing stands out as certain to firm, which is supposed to be the point. We will wait.

A DAILY TIP!

The Brisvegas maestro has fallen from his hammock and found a daily tip...look above for details!

GUFF UP FOR SANDOWN AND ROSEHILL!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for a couple of interesting midweekers. Take a look. The Birds didn't arrive last week after we felt nothing would firm, which is the primary reason behind releasing early tips. Indeed, Exosphere and Onerous blew like White House interns after the punters realized they'd be a fair chance of travelling in the quicksand. I'm hoping for better luck when the prices go up this afternoon. We'll be doing our best for you. Keep your eyes peeled.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

A very serious version of the Guff is up. This really is a great day's race and just as importantly an excellent betting day. Let's go get 'em.

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

Guff for the Valley tonight is now available to subscribers. We have a nap and a wee bit of value, but many races lack interest for us. We haven't put any Birds up because while there are many races we are interested in tomorrow, there's nothing that appears way over the odds early. In such situations it is wise to be patient.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY AND SANDOWN!!!

In fact the Guff has been up for several hours but I forgot to put something up to say so. We're already poring over the fields for Saturday and we will be along with some Birds for Saturday a little later in the day. Good luck!

GUFF UP NOW!!

Guff, with prices, is now up. Phew! And we started with the first winner in Melbourne! Enjoy the day.

 

THE BRISVEGAS GUFF IS NOW AVAILABLE!! 

The Guffmesiter ingested a magic potion last evening that has seen him off to a slower than usual start this morning, but rest assured, the Sydney and Melbourne Guff will be along shortly 

CANTERBURY AND VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

We've got a good thing, a value bet at 70/1, a smattering of value around the place and tomorow to look forward to. Sounds good to me, but see for yourself.

 

RETURN OF THE BIRDS!!!

The Birds are up at the bottom of today's Melbourne Guff. Go to it!

 

GUFF UP FOR MELBOURNE AND SYDNEY!!!

Midweek Guff is now available to subscribers. Today sees the Return of the Birds for what we call the "Autumn", a season that according to racing authorities runs from January to June. Stay tuned for those later in the day. I'm going to chance my arm here and tip an avalanche of best bet winners in coming weeks. As I've said before, the best bets are a bit like the stock market. You don't have to pick the bottom of the market, you only have to come in at a level where it may get worse but you know that 12 months from now it will be a whole lot better. Today's a great day to buy shares in the major banks and shares in Guff best bets. If you can only afford to do one or the other, plump for the Guff. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for what looks fabulous day's racing. (Just note I have to go back and amend a few prices that have changed after scratchings this morning.) It looks a really good betting day. I've put up the classy Adelaide sprinter SWINGING ARMS as a Daily Best Bet above and I really do think he should get the job done. There should be as much action as anyone can reasonably handle. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE VALLEY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for what looks a corker of a night at the Valley. We've even tipped you the winner of the Tasmanian Derby as well. And to keep the pot boiling, we've posted the winner of the second at Mornington above which you can cheer home with a steak sandwich and a beer during your lunch hour. Mind you, I don't know anyone who only takes an hour for lunch on a Friday and I don't know anyone who goes back to work after backing a winner. It's all shaping as a nice prelude to tomorrow. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR A SENSATIONAL WEDNESDAY!!!

We've got them at fabulous prices right across the board in both states. It is a day that promises much. Log on and see for yourself.

 

UPDATE!!!

Couldn't find anything in Adelaide. We're off to a good start. Let's keep it going!

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for Flemington and Rosehill. They both look tremendous betting cards. We will get our chances. I will put an Adelaide Daily Best up above a little later in the morning. (Try back around midday to be sure.)  Expect big things. 

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for tonight's Moonee Valley meeting. It looks a very good card and we might get a flying start for the weekend. Got to it.

 

NO GUFF TODAY!!!

With only country meetings in all states, we have a rare day off today. We still can't find a best bet winner but I hope HARDERN and a couple of the others saw you safely home yesterday.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

Australia Day Guff is now available to subscribers. As you'll see, we go in confident. It should be a cracking day.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for all 3 venues. We've put an Adelaide nap up above, so we have plenty to work with. Enjoy the day.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for Canterbury tonight While it is tricky with the rain we have a smashing one at good odds to send terror through the bookies' hearts. Log on and see.

 

GUFF UP FOR GEELONG AND THE FARM!!!

There's a bit there today. Have a look.

 

CAMPERDOWN AND BRISVEGAS GUFF UP NOW!!!

As promised - or threatened - I've put up some ratings and a bit of a blurb for the Camperdown meeting. Just log on and you'll find it underneath the Sydney and Melbourne cards. One disclaimer: the Camperdown best bet will be included in our Daily Best Bet results and not with the Best Bets. We're in a pitch battle to get the Best Bets back on track and the maestro will kill me if a donkey in the Victorian bush makes our job even harder. But that is in no way a reflection of any lack of confidence in the beast. Do what thou wilt.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the Sydney and Melbourne cards. A 16/1 Value Bet on Wednesday shored up our Longshot Louie credentials on the back of recent 40/1 and 100/1 winners. While the Best Bets remain in the duldrums, sooner or later, like Led Zeppelin always say, the levee's gonna break. You'll note I've gone to the picturesque Victorian hamlet of Camperdown for a Daily Best Bet. In fact it is a corker of a meeting down there and I fancy a few of them. If I get a chance I will add a quick review of the meeting at the bottom of Sydney and Melbourne. Check back about 11am. An interesting day beckons. Taste it.

GUFF UP FOR THE EARLY START!!!

The southern heatwave sees Sandown starting at 10.40, so it is going to be a long day. I like both cards more than somewhat. Think we can win. Log on and find out why.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is up for what look like three very interesting meetings. We will get our chances today, and that's all we ever ask. Give us the opportunities and we'll do the rest. We also have an Adelaide nap. (See above.) Like the great Al Stewart said. "Go and tell Lord Grenville that the tide is on the turn..."

 

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

Guff is up for the Farm but if the term caveat emptor ever meant anything it does today. Play at your own risk. At least the rain has stopped...

 

FARM OFF, SANDOWN UP, AND WE'RE STILL CELEBRATING 100/1 WINNER!!!

Warwick Farm is predictably off today. I say predictably because the racing authorities announced yesterday that "everything is looking good for the Farm". There was no apparent reason for this whimsical speculation and the rain poured down all night, as it was expected to. Very strange. We're left with a pretty good Sandown card and we should be able to find a winner or two. While all three best bets bit the dust on Saturday, and we don't treat that lightly, the maestro found CRAMMING at the incredible price of 100/1, and we had RUNSANI at 40/1 in Melbourne. If you found them, it was a good day. 

 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now up for subscribers for the second day of the big double header. We managed to hit the target yesterday and it would be nice to give them the old one-two. We'll be in there swinging.

NO BRISVEGAS GUFF!!!

The maestro has cried off today, citing a lack of city class horses up north. There will naturally be suspicions that he imbibed too much New Year's cheer, a suspicion I'm luckily not in a position to confirm or deny. I will twist his arm for a full coverage of the Sunny Coast tomorrow. HARBOUR GREY(6.0) has got us off to a good start, let's keep it rolling.

 

NEW YEAR'S DAY GUFF!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for Sydney and Melbourne. It's an awful meeting in Brisbane today so there's no Brisvegas Guff, but we will be covering the Sunshine Coast meeting tomorrow. The clicking over of the clock will be coeval with a renaissance, on quite an epic scale. Fasten your seat belts. 

 

MIDWEEK GUFF UP!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for today's Sandown and Canterbury cards. I think there's a bit there, including a mortal lock very early in proceedings. I'm off for some well-earned Italian coffee and eggs. Enjoy the day.

 

GREMLINS FIXED!!!

The Gold Coast Guff complete with ratings should be right to access now. It was remiss of me not to mention that this was the great man Alan Thomas' last day of calling. We've given him a bit of stick over the years, but can assure you it has been with real affection. In fact an AT-led Peruvian tour of Mayan ruins is on our bucket list. We wish him well.

BRISVEGAS GUFF UP!!!

Guff for the big Gold Coast meeting is now available to subscribers, as is our Adelaide nap. Fill the war chest and empty the fridge. Happy Boxing Day to all!

 

SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE BOXING DAY GUFF NOW UP!!!

Guff for Sydney and Melbourne is now up, with a couple of best bets, lots of other good things, loads of value, and a beast at 81.0 (but be quick!) that is in it up to its ears! I hope you all had a happy and relaxing Xmas because there's plenty of work to do today. The maestro has been kidnapped by his extended family and the onerous duty of the northern duties falls upon my unworthy shoulders. Don't worry, what I lack in science, analysis and expertise I will make up for with naked bluster. It should be up by midday. Oh, and I've got a stone cold certainty in the city of churches. I will put that up before high noon as well. Enjoy what should be a corker of a day.

 

GREMLINS!!!

While I omitted any mention of Warwick Farm below I did in fact cover the meeting. However, I've just discovered that when I hit the button to publish the Guff it's disappeared. I have to go out for a while but will put it up when I return. Don't worry, you aren't missing a thing. It's a terrible meeting. Your salvation lies south.

 

A RIPPER SANDOWN GUFF IS UP!!!

The maestro was urging me to spruik after a pretty good Saturday. For the twin reasons that we don't spruik and that it would take a strong man or woman to see the humour in the gesture at the moment, I demurred. The maestro did well with HEZA BOBBY DAZZLER(8.0) and GLENDARA(4.1) late both given strong pushes and his value bet LORDAG(16.0) running a commendable second. As you all know, the Sydney value bet MORE THAN FABULOUS(17.0) looked the winner everywhere - even right on the post to my admittedly prejudiced eye - but wasn't in front where it counted. That would have been quite a blow after SECRET LIES(19.0) had triumphed for us last Wednesday as a value bet. FITOU(7.0) blew to remarkable odds before providing us with our first best bet winner since Tony Abbott was in power. Like the Big O said (Roy Orbison, not Octagonal), "there's a lotta lotta work to do". But we've made a start. I've said during the last couple of months that if you can pick the bottom of the market, just like the stockmarket, you will finish up dining on Baltic sturgeon and drinking French champagne from ladies' slippers. We now know the bottom of the market is -1690. Hats off to the loyalist who emailed to say "I can smell a comeback." I can, too. There's a lot to be said about the rewards that come for those who have the gumption to hang in when things are tough. As I say, there is so much more to be done. But we've made a start. As you will see, I think the Sandown meeting today is spectacular and we may take another tiny footstep on the road to redemption. It does make for a very interesting midweeker. Enjoy it.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND BRISVEGAS!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for Sydney and Brisvegas. There are a couple of excellent opportunities, so go do that voodoo that you do so well.

VALLEY GUFF UP, FLEMINGTON OFF!!!

Guff for what really does look a good betting card at the Valley tonight is now available to subscribers. The southern heat wave sees all Victorian meetings scheduled for tomorrow to be abandoned. It's an almost disconcerting display of commonsense by the Victorian authorities, with the right decision arrived at as early as possible to assist everyone. Good to see.

 

CANTERBURY GUFF UP!!!

Although the weather is likely to play havoc, there's a few at big odds that will attract our attention this afternoon. "A little for a lot" is the motto. Log on and see for yourself.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for all 3 venues.  We won't die wondering today. There's plenty of action and for the first time in a long time we're going in with some confidence. Wipe the blood from your lance, don your chain mail and armour and gird your loins. No matter how you are feeling this morning it could be worse. You could be that West Indian bloke who told his captain not to bother reviewing because he was plumb lbw. Oh dear!

 

CANTERBURY UP!!!

Canterbury Guff has now been added to the Valley. Should be an interesting evening. 

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

We're going to overshoot our 2.30 deadline for production. As the great man Douglas Adams famously said, "I love deadlines, I particularly like the whooshing sound they make as they go past." We've been poring over the form like talmudic scholars in an effort to give you something worthwhile tonight. The good news is that we've done the Valley. There's a little bit more work to do on Canterbury but you'll have it in your hot little hands well before you down tools and head to the pub. That is, if you haven't already done so.

 

TONIGHT'S GUFF

In case anyone is wondering, Guff for tonight's meetings will be available at 2.30pm.

 

GUFF AVAILABLE FOR SANDOWN AND THE FARM!!!

It's a surprisingly good day if you play your cards right. And I do think we have an ace in the hole, which is always a nice start. Log on and see for yourself.

 

 

 

GUFF AVAILABLE FOR ALL 3 VENUES!

The Valley can be a bit challenging but while there are a few races we don't want to touch tonight there's a little bit of value around the joint. A judicious trader could turn a profit.

NO CANTERBURY FRIDAY NIGHT

With what looks a tepid Friday night fixture we're staying out of Canterbury tonight, intending instead to hit the target tomorrow

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES

Sydney and Brisvegas look fair cards today, while Ballarat, with one exception, looks lousy. It must be said the one exception looks nailed on, and that is enough. We've had a terrible time of it recently and the choices are obvious. Cash in your chips, or trust that the evidence of the last five years is more reliable than the evidence of the last five weeks. Win or crack, is my view. But as always, it is entirely a matter for you. Should be an interesting day. 

 

NO GUFF FOR THE VALLEY!!!

It's essentially a country meeting - and a bad country meeting - at the Valley tonight and we're clueless cats with that level of form. I'm pretty keen on Rosehill and Ballarat tomorrow, so forget about horses today and enjoy yourself. Tomorrow we go into battle.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

Guff is up for Canterbury. There's a bit there without getting carried away. Log on and see for yourself.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for all 3 venues. I think there is a bit there if you can dodge the hard races. If you don't already know, events in Paris overshadow our own small world and concerns today. Our Moslem brothers have a funny way of arguing their point.

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

It's not a bad meeting at the Valley tonight, although you do have to pick the eyes out of it. I think we've done that for you. Log on and see. Still no Birds. With torrential rain predicted for Sydney later today it is hard to take an early position, and Melbourne looks tricky early. We'll have sifted through them by tomorrow, don't you worry. Enjoy your Friday.

 

NO BIRDS!!!

The maestro and I cannot find any early inspiration for Saturday. We'll look again overnight and get back to you tomorrow. Have a good night.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!

When I first looked at this meeting I gloomily contemplated not covering it at all, but like Thomas Edison sez, genius is 99% perspiration and 1% inspiration. After a bit of elbow grease I think there's a bit there now. We've even got an off the ball best bet, and of course the promise of Birds for Saturday later in the afternoon. What more could you ask for?

 

GUFF UP FOR LAST DAY OF THE CARNIVAL!!!

We limp to the last day of the carnival bloodied, battered, broken but unbowed. At least we have a bit to work with today and - who knows? - we may even get a fair track. My old Ma never raised a coward and there's only one way out of this. How you handle it is entirely a matter for each of you as individuals, but if you felt differently to me you'd be washing your car or entertaining your wife's friends on a Saturday afternoon like the little people. Should be a very interesting day. Enjoy it.

 

 

DERBY DAY GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!!

Most years I find myself in Melbourne for at least some of Cup Week but can't be there this year, so I will be living vicariously through the rakes' tales emerging from the southern capital. It should be a great week. Guff is now available for Derby Day. We've got it out early so you can all terrorise the Melbourne cafes before heading to Flemington. The maestro will be along a little later with his northern stars. It all starts soon. I can't wait. Enjoy the greatest day on the racing calendar.

 

 

NO VALLEY TONIGHT!

There will be no coverage of the Moonee Valley meeting tonight. It's a terrible meeting and there really is nothing there. As always, we're mindful of the fact that many of you are in Melbourne for Cup week and we'll try to get the Guff up straight after scratchings each day of the carnival. Rest, relax, enjoy your Friday night. For a mighty conflagration begins tomorrow and we are all going to need to be on our toes. Talk to you tomorrow.

 

 

 

BIRDS UP!!!

The Birds are up, but it isn't the smorgasbord I was expecting at this stage. Log on and let me explain.

 

 

GUFF  UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

We didn't post after we swept all before us on Saturday, believing that going the gloat would make us just like those mainstream media outlets that dress up everything. We think - we like to believe anyway - that we are a bit more hip than that. Plus, there's still plenty of work to be done. We go into Cup week with the wind in our sails. There will be a flood of Birds later, and even one in the Canterbury Guff that will kick you off. I don't mind today's card, although it does have a long tail. But all eyes are already turning to the biggest racing day of the year. We've made Derby Day our own in recent years and we'll be working very hard to get the pelf again. Gird your loins, Guff loyalists! 

 

 

COX PLATE DAY GUFF UP!!! 

Guff is available to subscribers for the big Cox Plate day meeting and Randwick. It's a great day's racing and there look to be plenty of betting opportunities. We will get our chance today. The maestro will be along with his northern jewels a little later in the morning. Note that we've posted an Adelaide good thing for those not faint of heart. It is in the last, which may be useful. Enjoy what should be a great day.

 

VALLEY NIGHT MEETING UP!!!

Guff for tonight's Moonee Valley and Canterbury meetings are now available. A warning: they are lacklustre. I'm personally not keen to do much at all and our efforts have been concentrated on the big day tomorrow, but we've done the form for the meetings tonight to keep faith. If you do anything at all tonight, keep it tight. We will get our chance tomorrow. 

 

BIRDS UP!!!

Early Birds have gone up for Saturday. You'll find them in the usual spot.

 

MIDWEEK GUFF AVAILABLE!!!

While most of today's Farm meeting appears unappetising there does look to be a couple of decent bets. The Birds will be up this afternoon for not just the weekend, but anything we've spotted for Friday night at the Valley or Canterbury. We're at the pointy end of the carnival now. Stay on your toes.

 

CAULFIELD CUP DAY UP!!!

Guff is up for all 3 venues!. We're hurting, it's not been the hallmark Spring thus far that we've been looking for, but champions don't speak from the canvas and we've at least got plenty to work with today. I've thrown in an Adelaide best bet above, so we will get our chances. Have we ever failed you when the chips were down? It's time for action. Enjoy a day of champagne racing.

 

GUFF UP FOR BIG CAULFIELD MEETING!!!

It's a surprisingly good card at Caulfield in terms of quality and I think it is an excellent betting day as well. Throw in a couple of things at excellent value in Sydney and we've got the bones of a very interesting day. Let's put something on those bones. Enjoy the day. Birds up later for Caulfield Cup day. 

 

 

GUFF UP FOR CAULFIELD GUINEAS DAY!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the big Caulfield Guineas card and for the other two venues. The Caulfield meeting is a mouth-watering one for the purists and I think we can find winners there as well. If you look above we've nominated JOSE WALES in Adelaide as a Daily Best. I do think he will win. Enjoy what should be a corker of a day.

 

LAST OF THE BIRDS!!!

We've added a couple more Birds. That will do for now. We'll pore over the form overnight and see if we can add to them tomorrow. Enjoy your evening. 

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS!!!

We promised they'd come thick and fast, and the first of the Birds is now up. You know where to look. 

 

CANTERBURY GUFF!!!

Today's lacklustre Canterbury card is a big come down from the silk of the weekend, but the good news is that the mouth-watering Caulfield Guineas day is only a few days away. There will naturally be Birds. We'll be getting to work early on them. If anyone is a bit shaky after the tumult of the four day festival may I suggest you either a) Put on an old Patsy Klein record with a bottle of vodka; or b) put on George Harrison's "All Things Must Pass" with a bottle of Jamesons. Hold your line!

 

WARWICK FARM GUFF UP!!!

The last of the four days in a row, although we are back on Wednesday. Yesterday was pretty horrid, there's no getting away from that. I do think we can find winners today, though. We'll be trying. Enjoy the public holiday.

 

TURNBULL STAKES DAY GUFF UP!!!

Guff for the big Turnbull Stakes Day meeting is now available to subscribers. It looks a ripper of the meeting and we go into in with renewed vigour after HAYBAH lifted us off the canvas and restored our flagging spirits in the last yesterday. The maestro chimed in with a value bet that strolled in and it took an arrogant Alan Thomas call to get his best beaten. If you heard it and like the maestro and I believe in the mystical power of such things, you will know what I am talking about. The eagle-eyed will have had something on SUN FLASH, which we had rated 8.4 and some subscribers reported getting 40/1 about. A fabulous day looms. Enjoy yourselves.

 

DON'T PANIC!!!

An ugly evening at the Valley, but I implore you to remember the injunction in the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy: Don't Panic! We've got racing on the next three days and ole Winston wouldn't have seen off the Fuhrer if he'd folded at the first whiff of grapeshot. Guff is up for all 3 venues!. Amazingly, what looked a terrible race meeting down south may eventually reward us for not accepting the superficial analysis. We're the Guff, and we sift below the surface of the land. Enjoy the AFL Grand Final. I personally don't know who I'm cheering for because I can't identify the goodies and baddies. Sounds a bit like Syria, doesn't it? Keep cool, and everything will be alright.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE VALLEY!!!

I've just seen that there's a meeting at Warwick Farm on Monday, making it four days in a row that we'll be going into battle. And some people think I'm lazy. At least we have a clear day now until hostilities begin tonight. I notice our Birds have all firmed. The belt-and-braces incrementalists among you can lay back for a small profit with your stake guaranteed, while the daredevils will hang on to some very useful tickets. Either way, we did a bit better than the rest of the market, which basically waits for our lead. Cheer them on!

 

BIRDS UP NOW!!!

The Early Birds are now up for the weekend. There should be enough there to kickstart the weekend. That will be it until Friday night. We will get back to you then.

 

LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!

We have a not too bad midweeker leading into the superhypermost of the Valley Friday night, Epsom day, and Turnbull Stakes day on the Sunday. There's apparently a couple of footy games thrown in there as well. It should be a terrific weekend. I think we can find a winner or two to fill the pockets leading into it today. The all important Birds will go up later in the afternoon, so tune in later.

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES

Guff is up nice and early for subscribers who want to have a look at Sydney and Melbourne over a Saturday morning coffee while all the jerks around them are reading the Age or the Herald. If you hear a guy at the next table lament "But where's the maestro?" tell him his ruminations have now arrived. The day promises much. Enjoy it all.

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for tonight's Valley card. It is a traditionally tough one, but there is a best and that's what counts. Log on and see. Enjoy your Friday.

NO MORE BIRDS TONIGHT!!!

Just so we don't keep anybody hanging and hitting "refresh", there will be no more Birds this evening. We will try and dig up one for the Valley on Friday night tomorrow. Check back then. Enjoy your evening.

 

 BIRDS UP NOW!!!

The first of the Early Birds are now up under the last at the Farm today. There may be a couple more to follow but we will let you know. Go to it!

 

UPDATE

The price listed about COURTZA KING(5.0) was pre-scratching. I forgot to update it. He's into 3.6 now, which still looks a fair price. On another matter, many of you contacted me after Saturday to give me your best and worst songs by a number of artists. Some of them are hilarious. I'd intended to run them today but ran out of time and space. We'll include them in the Valley wrap up Friday night, which gives anyone else who wants to forward their thoughts a bit of time.

 

 

NOT A BAD WEDNESDAY!!!

It's a pretty decent Wednesday card. As you will see, we're keen on a few and have a best we have a lot of confidence in. If you look above you will see we've also but BADAWIYA up as a Melbourne best. She ran in the same race as Saturday's best Don't Doubt Mamma at the Valley and her run was just as good. She'd won by 7L her previous start. I think she'll get the job done. The Valley night meetings return on Friday, and it doesn't look a bad one to start. The Birds will go up for Saturday later in the day and we'll have the early oil to you as soon as we can. Keep your wits about you, we will need them today. 

 

 

THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE UGLY!!!

We don’t normally do the Monday morning quarterback thing, preferring to let others massage the weekend’s results and insult people’s intelligence. This is not about that. While I’ll quickly note that the two best bets won and the maestro chimed in with a value bet and there were a few other winners around the place, none of that is the primary reason for this unusual posting. You’ll have noted that the Daily Best Bet in Adelaide bit the dust. The bugger was 2.2 when I put it up, it firmed to 1.6 and managed to get beaten a snout. I unreservedly apologize for tipping one so short. An irate loyalist gave me a blast, pointing out we’re 0/5 in Adelaide this season – which he’s perfectly entitled to do. He even begged me to cease putting the Adelaide bests up, but I had a better idea. I’ve challenged him to a wager. If the bests are in profit at the end of the Adelaide season, he will buy me dinner, from soup to cheese platter and vintage ports. Obviously it is vice versa if we show a loss. Remember, I’m giving away five units head start. This is my way of saying that if you’ve done your money on the Adelaide goats, stick fats, we’ll come good. Other than that we should all have a spring in our step this morning and I may even buy my grumpy mate a beer when I inevitably catch up with him. Oh, and by the way, I’ve already got a couple of gems percolating for Saturday. Welcome to my working week.

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

The Guff is now available to subscribers. A cracking day beckons and whatever else happens, we won't die of boredom. I've even thrown an Adelaide bet into the mix (see above). The last couple down there have been absolutely slaughtered and the goddess Fortuna is due to take her foot off of our head. Enjoy the day.

 

 FIRST BIRDS UP!!!

We've posted a couple of Early Birds, but most of the races on Saturday look like they will take a bit of time to sort out. Two is enough if they are the right two. Heartbreak with CAPTAIN PARKER earlier. A very strange ride from our girl Jamie Kah denied us victory. She then went on to rub salt into the wins with a running treble. We will have to spank her.

 

AYE, AYE CAPTAIN!!!

CAPTAIN PARKER (R1 Strathalbyn) looks the winner today. He comes out of a strong Saturday race, gets Guff dream girl Jamie Kah, and while the 2.1 is getting skinnier than we normally like, it does like taking pennies off of the proverbial dead man's eyes.

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

It's a pretty lame midweeker and you'll see my enthusiasm is extremely limited. I will try to dig out something in one of the other states and put it up as one of the accursed Daily Best Bets above a little later in the morning. The Birds will be along in the afternoon and our focus turns to Saturday almost immediately. Enjoy the day. 

 

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS!!!

This makes it two early ones now. I'm going to be out of action until about 4pm due to another commitment. Don't panic, we will have more later. As usual, you will find the Birds under the last race today.

DAILY BEST BET!!!

If look above you will see COLONEL CUSTER, currently 2.0, listed as our Adelaide best. I'm very confident he will get the job done.

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM

Guff is available to subscribers for today's Warwick Farm meeting. It's a mixed bag, with a lot of races we can safely ignore but there's a few we do need to be on. I've got one brewing for Adelaide today. Check the daily tip above before midday. I think this one will get the job done. Remember the Birds will go up mid-late afternoon. As you will see, we've released an early Bird from the Coop in this mornings Guff. So we've got plenty on. Enjoy the day.

  

 

LAST OF THE BIRDS!!!

We've added a few Birds to complete the portfolio. Over and out for now.

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS!!!

The first of the Birds has gone up. You'll find it under the last at Canterbury today. But move quickly now!

 

MIDWEEK GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!!

An interesting day for a Wednesday. It would have been spectacular but for a couple of scratchings, but I do like today. Log on and see for yourself.

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

Guff is up for Sydney and Melbourne but I do need to explain something. Early yesterday morning I was sitting at home minding my own business when a black sedan pulled up and a couple of menacing men dragged me into it. They drove me to Scone, which is where I am now. Apparently today I will be looking at the Darley and Coolmore stallion parades before retiring to a hotel and drinking beer, Guff in hand, and cheering home the good things. So if today's Guff appears more matter of fact than usual, that's why. I think we can find winners, but there are a lot of races you'll need to ignore. I don't even know where the maestro is, but I'm sure he'll be along shortly. Enjoy the day, I'm confident I will.

 

 

 

BIRDS ARE UP!!!

A flock of Early Birds are sitting under the last at Canterbury today. There may be one or two more, check back later, but if you jump on board these ones now you will put yourself in a good position for the weekend.

 

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

Guff is up for a better than average Canterbury meeting. I do fancy our chances. The maestro and I will now turn our attention to the acceptances for Saturday and the all-important Birds. We will update you through the late afternoon from about 4pm. Enjoy the day.

 

 

LAST OF THE BIRDS GOES UP!!!

We've just posted the last of the Birds for this week. There should be enough there to put the traders and arbitragers among you in a very good position come Saturday. Those who like to simply hang on to a meaningful ticket in the old fashioned way also have bright prospects of being rewarded. Enjoy your day. Can't wait for Saturday.

 

NO MORE BIRDS TONIGHT!!!

We're drawing stumps for now. There may well be more Birds tomorrow but we need to do a bit more work. I think we have a couple of good ones as it stands. Enjoy your evening.

 

2ND BIRD UP NOW!!!

FIRST OF THE BIRDS!!!

Log on to the bottom of today's Canterbury Guff to see the first of the Birds for Saturday. Don't tarry, this won't last!

 

A TALE OF TWO CITIES!!!

I asked the maestro if there was anything in Brisbane worth a few shillings today and he told me "Guffmeister, jam it up your hole I've got better things to do than look at that tripe!" Given that this is the man who tipped us ARCHITECT at 8.0 this time last week before it started 3.6 and shat in, he may be excused. I've filled the breach with a nice little bet in the third in Adelaide, as you will see if you look above. ARTFUL DIVA is racing a bunch of hurdler having a conditioning run on the flat. It's currently 3.2 but there's a lot of fat on the bookies' bone and they are betting a huge percentage. Something best tote is the recommendation. We'll be back later with the Birds.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE MIDWEEK MEETINGS

It isn't exactly a stellar day's betting but we've got a couple at decent odds which is better than nothing. As you'll read, I'm already thinking about Saturday. It looks an exciting day's racing. I will see if the maestro like anything at Doomben today and if he does we will put it up a little later. Check around midday. 

 

THE BIRDS ARE BACK!!!

Log on now at the bottom of the last in Sydney today to see how you can give yourself a huge early advantage over the bookies and mainstream analysts and punters. It really is good to be back!

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE!!!

It's taken a while to get going today, with a lot of very hard races to get through. But like ole Gary Player said, "The harder I work, the luckier I get", although I always thought that a strange think for a white south african farmer with hundreds of slaves working for him to say. It's still right, though. I do think there is a bit there. Log on and have a look. The Birds return this afternoon. In fact, I'm about to download the form for Saturday and start sifting through them. And you thought our lives here at Guff headquarters was all beer and skittles, dancing girls and kazoos. Not Wednesdays.

 

WE'RE BACK!!!

Guff is up for all 3 venues. As always, we've enjoyed the month off. We're ready now for the mother of all Springs. We go in confident. Why wouldn't we? It's great to be back with you. I think we can post a win first day back. Have a look for yourself. Good luck to all. 

 

IT’S OVER FOR NOW!!!

I can do lots of things but one thing I’ve never done well is read a calendar. I’d convinced myself that Wednesday was still in the month of June. It’s not. Tomorrow is the first day of July, which of course is the first day of the Guff holidays. It’s over for now. Like we say, there is a time to fish and a time to mend nets. While the flagship best bets have had a poor season by our standards, we finished strongly late with 7 of the last 12 winning and they still show a profit that would be the envy of anyone else in this industry.  I’m putting up one more best bet tomorrow to try to push us above $4,000 for the season but there won’t be any accompanying spray. A subscriber using a betting plan revolving around double overlays told me the other day this has been our best season – and he’s been with us right from the start. As always, it has been a blast. We’ve had loads of fun and you are all a part of that. I’ll be using the month off to conduct a quality control review, attempting to identify and change areas of weakness in the season just gone. We will be back bigger and better than ever in August. From myself, the maestro and the marketing arm of the Guff a big thank you for all your involvement. We will raise a Guinness, a Tsing Tao or a mai tai to you all wherever we end up. By the time we return the first harbingers of the Spring, the Sir John Monash, the Missile Stakes, and warnings that this will be the worst year in living memory for bush fires and shark attacks and the good racing will be upon us. Look after yourselves and we’ll be back soon enough.

BEST BET

You will see that I've posted the final best bet of the season PAINTE above, for non-subscribers as well as those who pay their dues to see. It's not simply because I couldn't be buggered with the more difficult task of posting in the backend of the site. Let's go out with a winner for all the world to see what they're missing. Vaya con dios.

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Guff is up for all 3 venues.. It looks a great betting day and we are going to be in the thick of the action throughout. This is our last Saturday before the traditional Winter break so it goes without saying we're all mustard keen to go out on a high. We will certainly get our chances. Log on and see for yourself. Good luck to us, no one deserves it more.

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS!!!

The first of the Birds is up now under the last at Canterbury. There will be more. Read the explanation.

SECOND BIRD UP NOW!!!

GUFF UP FOR CANTERBURY!!!

A good day looms at Canterbury today. The best is succulent odds and we think there are a few others worthy of your attention. I only realized the other day when looking at some stats that 10 of the last 13 Sydney midweek bests have won. No wonder we've all had a spring in our step going into the weekend. But this effort has been dwarfed by the maestro who, on my figures, is showing 76% profit on turnover for the season up north. However, when I told him he was 8/22 for the season yesterday he insisted I'd robbed him of a couple of winners and demanded a recount, which I will conduct when I can. Here was me thinking he had an insouciant disdain for the stats. You never know a guy. We've been a bit  light on for Birds the last couple of weeks. No promises, but if we see anything this afternoon we will put them up. 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!

Guff is available to subscribers for all 3 venues. We've got a bona fide good thing in Melbourne and Brisbane, and a smattering of value in Sydney. Bon chance!

 

NO BIRDS!!!

We regret to say there are no Birds at this stage. The fields for Saturday look wide open and are going to take a lot of work to decipher. Sorry, but at least Winona got the good thing home today. If anything emerges tomorrow or Friday, we will let you know.

 

A COUPLE OF HANDY MIDWEEKERS!!!

There's a couple of more than useful midweekers at Canterbury and Flemington today and I think we can craft something. Log on and judge for yourself. We'll be along with the Birds later in the afternoon. Take it easy.

 

ROSEHILL GUFF UP!!!

We've only got the one holiday meeting today, with the others being provincial standard. Mind you, this isn't much better. But we only need one and I think I've found it. Log on and see. Enjoy your day off. 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

Alright, we've got the Sydney and Melbourne Guff out of the way early to clear the way for the big Stradbroke meeting. All eyes will be on the maestro. He's got the eye of the tiger, too, even refusing to drink ale with me yesterday so he'd be in top shape this morning.  Enjoy what should be a terrific day's racing.

 

BEWARE THE MUMMY'S CURSE FOR THE PHAROAH!!!

American Pharoah is considered the best of good things for this Sunday's Belmont Stakes, but is he? A loyalist send me this fabulous assessment of his chances by American racing writer David Papadopoulos. It's worth a read.

Gamblers’ Dumb 99.97% Triple Crown Guarantee: David Papadopoulos
2015-06-03 15:54:15.579 GMT



By David Papadopoulos
     (Bloomberg) -- When the great Spectacular Bid entered the starting gate for the 1979 Belmont Stakes, the gambling public was convinced he’d romp to victory and become horseracing’s 12th Triple Crown winner.
     This horse couldn’t lose. No way.
     The jubilant crowd bet him down to odds of 1-to-5 that day, and in so doing, effectively assigned him a stunning 66 percent chance of winning (after factoring in the track’s cut). He would finish a well-beaten third. Two years later, Belmont bettors liked Pleasant Colony’s chances of pulling off the feat too: 47 percent. Funny Cide was given a 43 percent shot in 2003. Smarty Jones the following year: 64 percent. Big Brown? Oh he was going to be an easy winner as well -- 65 percent.
     When all of the failed Triple Crown bids during this 37- year drought are examined together -- 12 of them to be exact -- the magnitude of the gambling public’s foolishness is breathtaking. Add up the percentages and they show that, in the crowd’s estimate, the probability that at least one of those 12 horses would win the Belmont was 99.97 percent. Or expressed differently, the chances that none of them would pull it off were just 0.03 percent. That’s 1 in 3,333.

                        American Pharoah

     So either we’ve witnessed one of the greatest series of random outcomes in the history of sporting events or the crowd is really stupid when it comes to wagering on the Belmont Stakes.
     I’ll sign up for the second of those two theories. Caught up in the hype and emotion of the moment, gamblers wildly overbet their hero. As they do, they disregard all the challenges that the horse has to overcome: a marathon distance
(1 1/2 miles) that he has never tried before and never will again; a grueling Triple Crown campaign of three races in just five weeks; and a field of fresh and rested rivals at Belmont.
     Now American Pharoah can certainly be the one to end this drought. He’s a freakish talent who cruised to the easiest of victories in the Preakness Stakes after gutting out a tough win in the Kentucky Derby. And by all indications he continues to thrive as he trains daily for Saturday’s Belmont.
     But before you plunk down $1,000 to win on Pharoah at odds of about 1-to-2, remember that the math is working against you.
Remember that you’re buying an overvalued asset.
     Rather than bet on our hero at that price, I’ll be putting down a few bucks on one or two of his rivals. Colts like Materiality, Frosted and Mubtaahij all loom as upset threats (more on them and the rest of the would-be spoilers on Friday).
     If the big horse is wildly overvalued in the race, then these others will be undervalued. That’s how parimutuel wagering works. Don’t be sucked in by Triple Crown mania. Use it to your advantage instead.

     (David Papadopoulos, managing editor for the Americas editing hub at Bloomberg News, has been following thoroughbred racing for more than two decades and was runner-up in 2008 Eclipse Award voting for feature writing on the sport.)

 

LAST OF THE BIRDS UP!!!

We've given you a veritable smorgasbord this afternoon. By the end of today you should all be very well-paced going into the weekend. Log on and see. 

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS UP!!!

You will find the first of the Birds up under the last at Canterbury today. There will be more to come through the afternoon. Go to it!

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

It's not a day to look foward to with a great deal of relish, but if you keep it small there's a bit of value there and we'll be rewarded if we strike a winner or two. Log on and see.

 

GUFF UP CANTERBURY!

The Guff is now available to subscribers for today's admittedly lacklustre Canterbury card. There are a few opportunities there, precisely three in fact, but none that I'd go to the gallows for. We will try to do better with the Birds today after a bit of a disaster last week. Check about 5pm. Go the Blues!

 

The Guff up early today, but it would be a mistake to construe this as enthusiasm for the meeting. It looks hard, with further rain predicted. There's only three out of the seven races worth betting in at all and even then, on a reduced scale. But Wednesday of course is Birds day. We'll be working feverishly on Saturday from the moment the fields are finalised and letting you know the early ones as soon as the enemy begins to put up prices. Be on your toes!

 

 

GUFF UP FOR CAULFIELD AND SCONE!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for Scone and Caulfield. While we don't have a best bet at either venue there's a bit of value in both places. I note that MANHATTAN AVENUE has been 6.5 to 4.6 while I've been writing the Guff. Sorry about that, it wasn't me. Most of us will have Wednesday's Bird already going at much better odds and that would kick start the day. The maestro is fine-tuning his masterpiece for the Sunny Coast even as we speak. He will be with us shortly. If you keep your wits about you, there's a profit there today, washed down with a few large tumblers of ale.Sounds good to me.

 

 

NO MORE BIRDS TONIGHT!

There aren't enough markets up for us to make our move on a couple more we're looking at. Rather than have everyone logging in repeatedly tonight. We'll get back to you tomorrow. Not a bad day today, hope you all found a winner or two.

 

FIRST OF THE BIRDS IS UP!!!

The first of the Birds for the weekend is up at the bottom of today's Canterbury Guff. We will add a couple more over the next hour or so.

CORRECTION!!!

A draft Guff went up initially by mistake with the wrong best bet. It is right now. Clearly, I don't have a lot between them. Make of that what you will.

 

CANTERBURY GUFF AVAILABLE!!!

It's an intriguing little card at Canterbury today and I certainly think we'll get our chances. Log on and have a peek.

 

 

LAST DAY OF THE BOOL UP!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the last day of the Bool. It should be a lot of fun. 

 

BIRDS AVAILABLE!!!

It's that time of the week when the poor old bookmakers bet us twice the price the horse's are going to be on Saturday. Log on and see.

 

 

GUFF UP FOR THE BIG DAY AT THE BOOL!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the big day at the Bool. We'll also cover the last day of the carnival tomorrow. Remember to check in for the Birds about 5pm. Those of you who were nimble and took the 4.4 MASTER OF ARTS last Wednesday will be glad you did. Our well is limitless, so dip your pail in again today.

 

EVERYTHING UP NOW!!!

Firstly, our sincere apologies for the problems today. Our IT guru says the problem is that, including freeloaders, we have about 5,000 people trying to get on at once. Can I ask that anyone currently sharing their password with mates simply passes the Guff on to them rather than have them log on as well? We won't whinge about commercial leeches, so help us out here. That said, we will work very hard to rectify the problems during the week. Everything is up now. I thought HERO MASTER was going to make the pain worthwhile, but it wasn't to be. There's a long way to go, boys, there is a long way to go.

 

MELBOURNE UP WITH MORE TO COME!!!

We're a bit slow out of the blocks today and since we are covering the big Adelaide meeting as well we're going to post them one at a time. Melbourne is up now, with Adelaide about 10 minutes away and Hawkesbury to follow. I don't even know if they are on in Brisbane, but will check.

 

 

BIRDS UP NOW!!!

We've finally got a couple of Birds up. Log on and see. 

 

 

GUFF UP FOR SUPER WEDNESDAY!!!

It might be a lowly Canterbury midweeker and there is the prospect of further rain, but we've never shied away from a contest here at Guff headquarters and it is game on today. This looks a superb betting meeting. Log on and see for yourself. The Early Birds for Saturday have been going well recently and whether you want to simply take the big early overs and put the ticket in your warm pocket, or - like my Sweet Pea - trade it back on Saturday and have them running for something to nothing, it is a market and strategy that we have made our own. Every time I see the TAB's Glen Munsie on the telly, I se fear in his eyes. Take a bow, we put it there. The Birds should be up about 5pm. I can't be more definitive because I have to wait for the frightened bookmakers to put the prices up before we can release the dope to you. Enjoy what promises to be a very interesting Wednesday.

 

GOLD COAST BIRDS UP NOW!!!

It's been brought to my attention that the Birds were hidden. I forgot to push a button. They are there now. The maestro has released a couple of Gold Coast Birds from the coop. Log on and get on!

 

CANTERBURY RACING!!!

Guff is up for an improbable day at Canterbury. It's hard to believe they are racing and you have to wonder just how much rain needs to fall before a meeting there can be called off. Guff is available for subscribers now. Almost unbelievably, there is a best bet. We have to cal them as we see them. I've also got one at Ballarat, which is posted above. Do try and stay out of all the bad races today, that's all I ask. 

 

LONE BIRD UP!!!

There's a lone Bird up, but we're still sifting through them. Get on this one and check back in the morning.

 

CANTERBURY OFF BUT WE'VE GOT ONE FOR YOU!!!

Congratulations on the track manager and stewards for their optimism in posting a heavy 9 yesterday afternoon and expressing their confidence the meeting would go ahead. Lord knows the world needs more optimists. It would be funny if you could ignore that these clowns are charged with making very important decisions. You're right, it is funny anyway. We've posted MASTER OF ARTS as a Geelong best bet above. The TAB has 4.6 if you're quick out of the blocks. Other than that, it is a quiet day, at least for you guys. We'll be working on the Early Birds the moment the fields are released for Saturday and the professional price assessors give us the opportunity to weigh their sagacity. Check back about 5pm, I will create a new file for the Birds. Stay dry. 

 

GUFF UP FOR ALL 3 VENUES!!!

We have a very good day in Sydney to end the carnival. On paper it looks an exciting day, but as we all know they don't run races on paper. It should be an absorbing day and we will get our chances. Melbourne looks chaotic and overall way too hard. Opportunities are there for the daredevils but it won't be easy. The maestro has arrived with the mail from the north on a day where we also look to get our chances in the Northern capital.. Enjoy what should be a cracking day.

 

BIRDS UP!!!

Early Birds are now available to subscribers, right under the last in Sydney today. Go to it.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

Guff is available to subscribers for the Farm. There is a little there, but all in all it is a tricky day. We've been going okay with the Early Birds and the judicious surely would have laid off SEMPRE LIBERA and HARTNELL at the truncated prices at the death to at least cover some of their stake on Saturday. Check from about 5pm and we will see what we can come up with. I will see if the maestro can provide an early Brisbane gem. Lord knows, he owes us one.

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FINAL DAY OF THE CHAMPIONSHIPS!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for all 3 venues. We've done well with the early shopping, but there's a big difference between the fish taking the bait and seeing him simmering in the pan in a lemon sauce. There's a wee bit there in the other races on the Randwick card and I've warmed to Melbourne. A fascinating day awaits. Btw, I'm straight back to Hawaii if SEMPRE LIBERA wins. Give it a kick for all of us!

 

MORE EARLY BIRDS!!!

You all should have your pockets bulging after NANCY(3.1) and PRIVATE SECRETARY(2.8). We've added a couple of Early Birds to the one you already have. One of them in particular will be much shorter on Saturday than it is now, so don't dilly dally or tarry. Have a good night!

 

GUFF UP FOR THE FARM!!!

We've got a couple nailed on at the Farm today and you can safely ignore most of the rest of the card. Geelong looks just too hard and we haven't covered it. Birds for Saturday will go up by 6pm. The rain has gone and Saturday should be run on a fairer track than Monday. We will get our chance to atone.

 

RANDWICK IS PROBABLY A DEAD 5!!!

The times suggest that Randwick is no worse than a slow 6 and probably a dead 5. It will get into that range officially later in the day because for some bizarre reason they cannot move the rating other than incrementally. Simply baffling.

 

PRICE UPDATE!!!

We've updated our prices on the Country Championship following the scratching of BINALONG LAD.

 

GUFF UP FOR SUPER MONDAY!!!

We are faced with a very tricky task negotiating the improving Randwick surface and we're going have to be flexible as we go. But we will get our chances. Sandown is a surprisingly good meeting. Note that KING OF ENGLAND has firmed dramatically since I drafted the Sandown Guff this morning, which supports the things I was saying, but I think ole Smerdy has had an itchy trigger finger. I didn't see the point of putting it up as a Bird yesterday, given that none of you would have been looking at the site. Sorry. With a bit of luck, we can make it up to you today. 

 

GUFF UP FOR DONCASTER DAY!!!

I don't know whether I've just done three days of form for nothing, but Guff is now available to subscribers. The bog track at least gives us a throw at the stumps with a few roughies. There's a couple at nice prices in Melbourne as well. The Brisvegas Guff is now available with the meeting set to be run on a swamp. It promises to be a wild and crazy day. Business as usual. Enjoy the break.

 

WE'VE ADDED TO THE BIRDS!!!

There are a few more Birds right where you found them yesterday. I'm not saying any of these are nailed on, simply that they are excellent chances and currently way over the odds. That's what we're here for.

EARLY BIRDS!!!

Have to be quick! A good day. There are EARLY BIRDS at the bottom of today's Sydney card.

 

NOT A BAD WEDNESDAY!!!

I was very surprised to see them jumping off the screen at me this morning. I know it is heavy in Sydney but I do like the card, and I think there's some delicious value down south. Play it as it lays, I say. As always, up to the individual. That's us. In case you haven't noticed, we are the only individuals left in the country. The Early Birds will appear about 6pm at the bottom of the last in Sydney. Should be an interesting day.

 

WHAT A DAY!!!

As you know, we don't spruik. But I think the events of the day are worthy of some comment. The IT problems that bedevilled us had me crying tears of honest frustration this morning.One subscriber cancelled his subscritption, such was his ire, and who could blame him? But it all turned around with the two best bets, HARTNELL and CARLO BUGATTI bringing home the bacon. MECAUT and HAUKARI rounded out a very good day. But back to the guy who cancelled his subscription. As I said, it's his money, his life and he' perfectly entitled to do whatever he likes. But I've just finished reading a book that concludes the only difference between successful and unsuccessful people is that successful people hang in there when things are tough.They're not necessarily smarter, or more industrious or anything else you may like to attribute their success to. They simply keep going when times are hard. That, my friends, is you lot. Take a bow. Thanks for your patience today. We feel the love. Enjoy your evening, you've truly earned it.

 

GUFF FINALLY UP!!!

We've had a torrid time at Guff headquarters today with our server down. Guff is now available for all three venues. The prices for Sydney and Mornington will be added shortly. 

 

VALLEY GUFF UP!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for tonight's big Valley card. It doesn't look too bad at all. Having been up since dawn fashioning and chiseling the jewels to put before you, I think I've earned myself a fine lunch and a couple of dozen of Mr Cooper's finest. Don't you think? You'll find me at the spiritual home from mid afternoon if you'd like a beer and a chat about life, the universe and everything. Enjoy the day.

 

EARLY BIRDS UP!!!

Sorry, we've had horrendous IT problems with the backend of the site. The Birds will have to go up here, in full public view. PASADENA GIRL(4.0) is destined to start a warm favourite by Saturday. HARTNELL(3.5) is well over the odds to repel the Japanese invasion.

 

MIDWEEK GUFF NOW AVAILABLE!!!

There's a little bit there, but not much. Friday and Saturday offer far greater riches. Keep your wits about you.

 

GUFF AVAILABLE FOR SLIPPER DAY

The Guff is now available for Slipper Day for all 3 venues. There looks to be plenty of action on a stellar programme at Rosehill, while the Bendigo meeting is tough but we do get a chance with a couple at very juicy odds. The Brisvegas meeting is dreadful, but hopefully we can chime in there with a couple of winners late. Enjoy what looks a fabulous card at Rosehill

GUFF AVAILABLE FOR MOONEE VALLEY!

Just a little pipe opener to warm us up for Slipper Day. 

NO GUFF FOR WARWICK FARM!

We're not covering today's Warwick Farm meeting.. I had a look and the winners aren't exactly leaping off the page there!

THANKS FOR THE PARTY!!!

 On behalf of everyone here at the Guff, thanks to all of those who attended the Xmas Party on Saturday. A great time was had by all! Loyalists flew in from Melbourne, Brisbane, the country and even Papua New Guinea. We've said many times we do this simply because we enjoy it. If it ever stops being fun, it is over. That doesn't look like happening anytime soon. We just need to get the winners flowing again. We're on the cusp of the Autumn now. As John Howard once said, the times will suit us. See you Wednesday. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALL HAIL THE MAESTRO!!!

 

The ole Guffmeister would like to accept your laurel and hearty congratulations on a magnificent performance yesterday and if I thought the truth would go undiscovered, I naturally would. But, no, while I was slaking my thirst and watching the Aussies set up a magnificent victory in Adelaide, the maestro was working feverishly on what can only be termed a masterclass yesterday. The all-up best of SAIGON TEA into OUR BOY MALACHI was a bold and inspired play. Judging by the many congratulations I’ve received, most of you thought it was just the ticket to right some recent reversals. But, as you know, that was just the start. RUDY(6.5) was given an excellent push in the Villiers, while our man essentially ignored most of the rest of the Randwick card. Down south, the maestro wreaked havoc! GOLDEN MANE(4.4), MIGHTY LIKE(6.0) and MADAM GANGSTER(6.5) were all given very strong pushes, with MADAM GANGSTER(6.5) nominated as the value bet on the card. YOUNG TIGERS JEUNEY(17.0) and LILY DAZZLER(31.0) were given a mention as being spectacular value, and they’ve run out of their skin, going under narrowly. You will have noticed that a number of these horses started at much shorter than the quoted prices. (I’m saying this for the benefit of non-subscribers who may read this and think we are inflating the prices of the horses involved. The prices quoted are the prices the horses were at the time of the publication of the Guff. It’s not our fault if you aren’t part of the Guff Army and have to take the scraps later.) Despite having to cover the southern states, the maestro found ZAHA’S ACE(4.5), WICKED INTENT(1.7) and HOPFGARTEN(5.0) in his traditional hunting ground. Pretty good work, all round. You can buy him a beer at the Guff Party, which has now been rescheduled to Saturday 7 February, 2015 because so many of you said you would be away in January. This is definitely the date now. Oh, you won’t be able to buy him a beer because the beers are on us. It’s been an uneven time recently, but you know the drill – 

 

 

 

LATE FIGHTBACK SAVES THE WEEK!!!

 

Seven days ago at this time the world was our oyster and then, being the clever dick that I am, I decided there were about six nailed on Wednesday and Friday. No matter how furious any of you were with me individually, it paled in terms of my personal disgust. It was dickhead stuff and I unreservedly apologize. There was only one thing to do about it. I hope OUR BOY MALACHI(2.8) and COMMANDING WIT(3.8) did the trick. IM IMPOSING(21.0) and SCHOCKEMOHLE(26.0) were delicious value for those of us that like to play that way. A slaughter job on the maestro’s Brisvegas best robbed us of an even better day.  We’ve steadied the ship. Like the great Al Stewart sez, “Go and tell Lord Grenville that the tide is on the turn…” Enjoy your evening and leave the rest to us.

XMAS COMES EARLY FOR GUFF LOYALISTS!!!

We’re the Guff, we don’t spruik like those mealy-mouthed media flunkies who can’t believe they’ve fluked a winner. However, we’re entitled to celebrate with you, our cherished loyalists. It was quite a day, wasn’t it? Two value bet winners at 16.0 and 20.0 have got the Xmas turkey on the table and I’ve already placed a call to my man who fills the cellar on a reasonably regular basis to start squinting at his list of vintage wines and ports. RESURRECT(7.5), EISENHOWER(14.0), ZUMA ROCK(10.0) and CARRIAGES(7.0) made it a day to remember – and that’s if you restrict yourself to the double overlays. If you simply want better than the rated Guff price, there was even more. But we’re not greedy men and we’ll take what we got every day of the week. A special shout out to the maestro, who not only told his charge young Koby Jennings to go to the front on SENTA DE NOCHE and gradually improve his position, but was so persuasive in his advocacy of the beast yesterday I simply had to make it the value bet. We all owe him a beer. Enjoy what I hope should be a fabulous evening for all. And – we really mean this – thanks for all the texts and emails. This doesn’t work without you, and we don’t take it lightly. Now go and spend some of the loot on your Sweet Pea!

 

GUFF UP FOR SYDNEY AND BALLARAT!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for the southern states. As you will see, I spent a lot of time whingeing about Ballarat but ending up finding a few there. The maestro will be along soon. A tricky day, I think we will be okay. 

SPRING REVIEW 2014

There’s been the usual wild clamour for the Guff’s traditional review of the Spring. (“No! No! Haven’t we suffered enough?” That kind of thing.) It was a fascinating Spring. In fact, more than usual it will be a tremendous pointer to what is going to transpire in the Autumn. The early 2yo form, the 3yo sprinters and the the races for the older horses provided us with a lot of clues as to what to expect, and where we might put our early money, in the Autumn.

THE BABIES

I’m going out on a limb here and declaring this already the best crop of 2yos in at least 20 years. On October 25 in the space of an hour FONTINON won in jaw-dropping style in Melbourne, FURNACE toyed with his rivals in Sydney and FREQUENDLY gapped its rivals in Brisbane. Each of them returned very impressive figures. While FREQUENDLY face much inferior opposition to the other pair, she did it with some style and it will be very interesting to see how she returns in the Magic Millions. Interestingly, she hasn’t been entered for the Slipper which means she will have to win her way in. Magic Millions prizemoney isn’t taken into account for the Slipper order of entry because it is a closed race, so FREQUENDLY will have to win another good one along the way to secure her place. FURNACE returned, good, but not sensational figures. However, the maestro has pointed out that he cantered in front until the 200m mark and his last furlong was explosive. There’s no doubt he’s a colt of the highest quality. FONTINON ran only slightly slower than the open sprinters and a much quicker last 600m. Spring 2yos just don’t do that. (In fact the last time an early season 2yo did anything like this VILLA VERDE and OVERREACH quinnelaed the first 2yo race of the season at Caulfield.) On my scale, the figure FONTINON returned here would have won every Slipper since DANCE HERO’S in 2004. And this is his first start in the Spring! He’s the benchmark. But we only had to wait until last weekend and the appearance of Peter Snowden’s PACEMAN to find a challenger. He came out slowly, pulled and raced ungenerously early, and was released for 50m in the straight to put the race beyond doubt. He unquestionably has oodles of improvement. There will no doubt be plenty of others debuting and impressing between now and the Autumn but it is worth remembering that the ones that have an early run and are then put away have a huge advantage over the horses which debut later in the season. (The last three winners of the Slipper: Sepoy, Pierro and Overreach all fall into this category.)

THE 3YO SPRINTERS

I think most of us are agreed that the Coolmore Stakes down the straight on Derby Day was the best edition of that race for many a year. The race will produce many top class sprinters. Clearly, the winner BRAZEN BEAU will be the testing material, but a lot can happen between the Spring and the Autumn and it won’t surprise me if a couple of the beaten brigade emerge as challengers. Most notable amongst these is RICH ENUFF, a horse I managed to get wrong all Spring. I backed BRAZEN BEAU to beat him in the Danehill and while I privately grumbled that BRAZEN BEAU was caught on inferior ground on the inside of the straight that day it wasn’t enough to persuade me to stick with him in light of RICH ENUFF’S subsequent performances. It’s clear that RICH ENUFF’S stoic run in the Guineas when he did all he could to hold off ** despite the 1600m being beyond his distance range took too much out of him and we didn’t see the real one in the Coolmore. I will not be surprised if he re-asserts his superiority over his generation in the Autumn. SHOOTING TO WIN continued to improve right through the Spring and he’s in the right yard to continue doing so. He has Doncaster Hcp written all over him.

THE 3YO STAYERS

It’s always difficult to assess the 3yo stayers because their Spring ratings are often very poor, with the Champion Stakes and the Victoria Derby usually returning poor figures. While supporters of the VRC Derby can point to Caulfield and Melbourne Cup winners Elvstroem and Efficient (and even Lion Tamer and Fiveandahalfstar did win again at Group 1 level), the past 20 year of the race is littered with the carcasses of horses which either never won again or did so at the most modest level. But if you think that’s bad, have a look at the Spring Champion Stakes. Do you remember these household names from the last decade: Sousa, Erewhon, Complacent, Dr Doom, Teranaba, and of course the hapless Hampton Court. (Note that three of these goats were trained by the great Peter Snowden. He really can get the best out of a horse.) I mention Hampton Court, not to show what clever dicks we were in opposing him in the Derby but for a couple of purposes. Firstly, I think he’s demonstrably a goat and no matter what Mrs Waterhouse says, don’t anyone dare put any money on him again unless compelling evidence arises to show we’re wrong. Secondly, the same mad pace that saw him home in the Champion Stakes negated the finish of FIRST SEAL, which was a distance doubt in any case. I think that filly is the best of her generation and she could be a star in the Autumn. Just don’t judge her on finishing behind HAMPTON COURT. The Derby itself was quite a conundrum. PREFERMENT ran faster time and .9s faster than SIGNOFF in the Hotham, figures which I believe are impossible but for the intervention of wind and I don’t take them seriously. I’ve come up with a modest figure for the Derby, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the first pair developed into nice horses. PREFERMENT is a classic Zabeel and he’s got two miles written all over him. BONDEIGGER came a long way this preparation and while he needs to improve during his break, there’s every chance he might. However, I think the overall strength of the field is weak.

 

THE OLDER SPRINTERS

How many best sprinters in the world can we have? For six months none of the commentariat could mention LANKAN RUPEE’S name without adding the suffix “best sprinter in the world”. When Joe Pride impishly tweeted that TERRAVISTA was the best sprinter in the world, there was a humourless  outcry at his apparent heresy. CHATAUQUA still has his admirers, which includes us. There’s no doubt that for whatever reason he didn’t run up to his best in the Darley Classic. We’re of the view he may have found the ground too hard. I think he looks the best of the older horses going into the Autumn. His stablemate DEEP FIELD lost a bit of lustre with some pundits winning narrowly the previous Saturday. I wouldn’t be so quick to diss him. He ran into a headwind, got the job done, and he’s got tremendous improvement in him. We have him behind his stablemate but he’s a good chance of making the necessary improvement. I think the 3yos will be highly competitive in the Autumn and RICH ENUFF in particular may prove the master of the older sprinters.

 

THE CUPS AND THE PLATE

Japanese C grader ADMIRE RAKTI’S demolition of the cream of Australia’s staying ranks made the locals look a bit sick. It’s worth remembering that not only did he carry 58kg, the most weight any the next five home carried was 53.5kg. Our middle distance horses have never been worse. Apologists have tried to paper over the cracks by claiming imports like GREEN MOON and FIORENTE which were trained here after spending their early years in Europe. I call this the Kepler Wessels view of Australian horse racing. While there is some hope with So You Think, Americain and others now at stud, I  have a real concern that Australia simply doesn’t have the depth it needs amongst its broodmare population. While I’m happy to breed to these kinds of stallions, I’d like some classy European or American blood on the damside.

ADELAIDE won what looked like an appalling Cox Plate, the blanket finish being quite a clue to the lack of overall quality of the field. I don’t think any of these will be sighted in the Autumn and I may as well say it now, despite the Waller polish that includes the winner. If you find that a surprIsing conclusion, please consider this: the Melbourne Cup winner PROTECTIONIST would have won the Cox Plate by about 6L if he’d returned the same rating over 2050m that he did over 3200m. There were 22 horses in the Melbourne Cup. The 6th horse finished more than 8L from the winner. The 8th horse AU REVOIR, was beaten more than 11L and then came out and won the Zipping Classic. Andreas Mohler has left PROTECTIONIST with Kris Lees and I promise you the horse won’t go backwards. He will win whatever he is set for.

Of the others, CONTRIBUTER oozed class in his only run here and I’m looking forward to seeing him reappear in the Autumn. It is sobering to reflect that both Cups and the Cox Plate were won by overseas raiders. Australian horses are simply not good enough to be competitive. Being the positive fellow I am, I can see some tremendous openings for individuals prepared to think outside the square, but make no mistake, anyone wishing to compete at the top level who doesn’t will perish. That’s about it. I hope it has given you all something to think about yourselves. I’m already looking forward to the Autumn.

 

 

 

 

MIDWEEK GUFF NOW UP!!!

Guff is now available to subscribers for today. We've got two nailed on and quite a few at spectacular odds that are worth something. Should be an interesting day. 

FIRST BLOOD TO THE GUFF ARMY!!!

Two best bets, the Derby winner, BONARIA at 34.0, the mighty DEEP FIELD and then the maestro chips in with the last winner up north at 20/1. It really couldn’t have got much better. There were a few exotic results through the day, as well. We’re back, we’re firing, and the enemy should know, we’re rolling out the panzers now. This is our time. Everyone seemed to appreciate the Friday edition for Derby Day and we will do the same for Cup Day. We will publish sometime Monday. Stories have reached us of loyalists at Flemington meeting each other, embracing, and ordering expensive French champagne while baffled onlookers scratched their heads. There will be a lot more of that after the maestro, myself and the marketing arm of the Guff hit the southern capital on Wednesday. The Army has risen and we haven’t finished yet. Not by a long chalk.

the cork out of one and salute my chum. You should, too!

 

HOW  DO YOU LIKE DEM APPPLES?

C’mon, admit it. Only the Guff would have had the guts to give you French deconstruction and witchcraft after last week. And then, of course, a hatful of winners. BRAZEN BEAU(4.2), MtORIARTY(4.6), HE’S YOUR MAN(6.0) and JUNOOB(5.0) led a pllage of Sydney. MAGICOOL(13.0) was a lovely winner down south. (I’m not going to claim LUCIA VALENTINA(9.0), even though she was technically a nice overlay.) OUR HAND OF FAITH looked like he might make it a day for the ages in the last, but just missed. The obvious disappointment was we again missed the target with the two bests. That’s one from the last 10. For the new boys, every time this has happened – without exception – we’ve got it back within a month. You don’t have to take my word for that, just have a look at the results section. We’ve got our eye in just as the biggest month of the year is about to begin. We’re so glad you are with us. A have a feeling something special is about to happen. Enjoy the rest of the long weekend (I will put something up for Randwick Monday but it does look a poor meeting) and please give my beloved Bunnies a tremendous cheer tomorrow!

 

WHAT A STRANGE DAY!!!

How on earth do you describe that? Then two best bets biting the dust and nothing else going right in the first half of the day saw us all ready to tap the mat. But it’s a game of two halves and a bit of a comeback was launched by one of our rejuvenated daily best bets, GRANE, at humble Moe. Five minutes later Guff heartthrob JUNOOB got the job done. (The maestro had chimed in with LUCKY  METEOR at nearly 9.0 before this.) There was still a lot of work to be done but GIRL GUIDE(6.5) undid a lot of damage for many of us. TERRAVISTA(2.4) and the maestro’s very confident tip in the last, SEA RED(2.8) made it a memorable finish. Now I’m aware that much of this comes down to how you play things and those who back the best bets heavily (of which I’m one) would have been in a trauma ward early and may not have hung in there. So I’m not breezily assuming everyone got out of trouble, but there was at least scope to limit the damage and if they couldn’t finish us off today, they never will. It’s been quite a day. Enjoy your evening. The Guff’s very own horse EGIPTIENNE runs in the first at Hawkesbury tomorrow. He’s up against a Snowden debutante that’s trialled well, but you know what? Our big boy may just give him one hell  of a fright. Have a few dollars on him. Enjoy the rest of your weekend.

 

SULTAN OF THE STRADBROKE STRIKES AGAIN!!!

The maestro has done it again! 12 months ago we were celebrating his holy name in song and verse amid huge tankards of ale, and so it will be again tonight after RIVER LAD(35.0) stuck his lovely snout out to win the Stradbroke. Of course, LINTON did the same thing last year at around the same price. I can add more to this story: way back in 2008 during one of those periods we all wish wouldn’t happen but sometimes do, the maestro called me 5 minutes before the Stradbroke and simply said “You have to be on MR BARITONE here”. I rang Carrot Top’s empire and the lackey on the phone said “I’ll have to put you through to the high roller room,” after I’d asked for a humble $500 at the 36.0. I was breaking into a cold sweat as the last horse was going into the barriers and the line had been silent for a couple of minutes. Then a voice I’ve always liked to think was the Sportingbet supremo himself, gruffly said “You’re on.” The rest is history. So if you see a tall guy with hair the colour of a dark seal, with a grin like a split watermelon walking around town this week, buy him a beer and shake his hand. He’s earned it. 

 

PLAY THAT FUNKY MUSIC, WHITE BOY!!!

What a day! The brave win of GOTTA TAKE CARE(3.1) will live long in our memories. It’s hard to believe that it will inevitably be embellished over time, because it’s hard to exaggerate what we saw with our own eyes. We’d be fibbing if we didn’t say there was a bit on the line for us today. We pride ourselves on nailing our colours to the mast, unlike the craven mainstream media, but we obviously expose ourselves to ridicule if we get it wrong. It didn’t look real flash at the 600, did it? KRASSE(3.5) completed a smashing jumps double for us. GRIANTE(7.0) and TIMELESS PRINCE(8.0) both received strong pushes this morning and delivered the pelf. The knockout blow of course was the win of TRANSONIC(13.0), the Sydney value bet. You all will have noted that every one of these horses, with the exception of GRIANTE, firmed dramatically from their prices at the time of publication. That’s one of the great edges we have, and you all know and exploit it.

Many of you have contacted us through the day, mostly to talk about the jaw-dropping win of GOTTA TAKE CARE, and we never tire of talking about things like that. But one loyalist, a South African expatriate with a keen eye for a krugerrand, texted this: “April is but a distant memory. The loyalists will be begging you not to stop playing the funky music come July.” This is of course not only a reference to the Wild Cherry classic piece of white funk, but a reminder that at the end of June the maestro and myself are taking a month off to rest before the mother of all battles that this Spring promises to be. There’s still a month of fun and loot to be had, so nobody should fret. I’m off for some fine Indian tucker and a bellyful of Kingfisher beer. I’m hoping you all do something similar. God, or whomever, knows we’ve earned it. Enjoy the night and we’ll do it all again come Wednesday.

A DAY OF TRIUMPH DESPITE THE GREMLINS!!!

Hawk-eyed loyalists would have noticed gremlins in the works yesterday, with the prices not always reflecting the written analysis. It didn't seem to stop any of you slamming the best bet AMAZON(3.5). The Melbourne value bet ALASKA was a bee's dick away from being nominated as a best, but as we say, if the queen had balls she'd be the king and counterfactual history is a wank. It was still a very good bet. HERO MASTER(4.6) and LA AMISTAD, which was 6.0 yesterday morning but ended up 3.3, rounded out a nice day for us. To be sure, there's more work to be done. That's called Saturday and I for one can hardly wait.

AMAZING WORK FROM THE MAESTRO!!! 

An astonishing performance from the maestro today. He's tipped five winners on top, with two of his other top-raters running second and the other third. His best bt BRAVE ALI(3.5) has led all the way to deliver best bet followers a bit of relief after the recent drought. TWO BLUE(10.0) and GO INDY GO(7.0) helped the cause in Sydney, with GIRL GUIDE(2.7) doing the job at a skinny price in Melbourne. SHADOW NINJA(32.0) was rated second as a 5.8 chance in the last and we'd love to have given it a push, but the race did look tough. I do know that at least some of you found it. A bit better. But there's even better to come. especially when the Qld carnival swings into gear. Good times are coming. Enjoy your evening.

THE ARMY RISES!!!

Day 4 of the Test and our openers have gone out on a flat Bellerive deck and carted the hapless opposition trundlers all around the park. Both best bets have won, MESSENE(3.3) and TANGOS DAUGHTER(3.4 at the time the Guff went up). That steadied the ship more than somewhat. ENTIRELY PLATINUM(6.5) became our first value bet winner since the maestro's VALERIE D'AMOUR, which won while I was fighting for my life in an Irish bar in New York so long ago I can barely remember it. Now that we've broken the drought, expect more. SILENT ACHIEVER(16.0) was one of the two in the Ranvet that we fancied to turn over the media toys. It's been a splendid day. I'm about to get ready to take Sweet Pea to a fabulous Japanese restaurant, but while she and the children are sleeping in the wee hours I'll be burning he midnight oil and poring over the form for Kembla tomorrow. As always, my sword is yours. Thank you for all the emails and texts this afternoon. We really wouldn't do this if it wasn't so much fun and you guys didn't get as much of a kick out of it as we do. The money's nice though, isn't it? Now just follow the bouncing ball: "We are the Army!!!"

 

BEST BETS A LICENCE TO PRINT MONEY AS STREET VIEW SKATES IN!!!

As you know, we don't spruik here at the Guff. But we are entitled to give you the facts. We all know the mainstream media doesn't put a lot of store in facts, but we do. Here's an interesting one: If we stopped the season now this would be the third straight season since the inception of the public Guff where the results meant that on a level stake bet you would win at least the equivalent of that level stake every week of the year. That is, if you put $100 on every best bet, you would average winning at least that every week. (In fact, last season it was just about double that.) And naturally, we don't want the season to end now. The Autumn carnival is about to start and then the maestro will tear their hearts out like a storybook witch during the Brisvegas Winter carnival. We think we can do a bit better than the current profit of $5,130 for the season on the basis of a notional $100. I think you know we will be trying. A great start to the working week. Enjoy the rest of it and you can buy us a beer in the unlikely event you run into either of us in a tavern.

 

GUFF ABLAZE IN THE CITY OF LIGHTS!!

The jamboree continued for Guff Loyalists with the last 7 winners at Rosehill rated on top, including the oh so juicy MOSSFUN as the best across the wide brown land at $5.50 at time of publication. Loyalists did the honourable thing with an avalanche of money knocking the horse into $4 by post time. Other winners given a healthy push included EL ROCA, CATKINS and DREAM CHOICE all of which drifted to succulent odds during betting. All this from the substitute monkey while the Guffmeister has been whooping it up on his North American sojourn. The Guffmeister himself returns in just a matter of days and is sure to deliver a burst of Mitchell Johnson style ferocity the moment he sets foot back in the Wide Brown Land. Keep your eye on the ball Carrot Top!!

THE ARMY STRIKES BACK!!!

Let’s be honest here. Who was a doubter? Who was a critic? Even one of the greatest of Guff loyalists texted this morning to say last night’s Guff was the first time he’d ever seen words slurred on a page. Another refused to believe it wasn’t written by a 5yo. I’m the first to admit that it wasn’t our finest hour. But that was then, this is now. The best bet across the wide brown land DREAM CHOICE was freely available at 5.0 when we put the Guff up. On course punters were taking more than a point shorter at the death. A peach of a ride from the great man Nash sealed the deal. INSTRUMENTALIST was a lovely 5.0 and in the absence of a good thing in Melbourne he added a bit of cream. We also had MOHAVE 4.4 and gave BORSAY a great push at 15.0. If you are one of the players of the double overlays you would have had something on SPIRIT DANCE at 21.0. I still think the Sydney value bet KRISTY LEE would have made it an amazing day if Bowman had got her through that narrow gap 150m out, but it wasn’t to be. The maestro correctly divined things would be tough up north and they were winning without names all day in races he cautioned us to stay out of. He did give ZELLARO(3.6) the nod and only asked that she ease from her 2.8 quote, which she did. We’re back where we belong after a tough week. Normal transmission has been resumed. Enjoy your evening

 

GUFF PLAYS SANTA AS THE WINNERS FLOW ALL DAY!!!

Merry Xmas, Guff loyalists! SEEKING MORE(3.8), CALMING INFLUENCE(3.3) and AWASITA(2.6) made it 3/3 best bets, with the clean round just what the doctor ordered this time of year. As you all know, RED EXCITEMENT(15.0) should have won the last by as far as you can kick your hat. Unfortunately, they don’t pay on that. Have a great night tonight, enjoy your Xmas Day whatever you do and wherever you are. At some stage during the day fill a brandy balloon raise it to the sky and toast the marvellous fraternity that is the Guff. It is you guys who make it special. Thanks.

HIPPIE GUFF COMES GOOD!!!

The Age of Aquarius dawned just a bit ahead of time today, with best bet TAMARIZ(3.5) winning by half a dozen lengths and value bet PILLOW TALK(9.0) saluting. You’ll notice they were the prices the horses were this morning. Try getting those by racetime. I think it’s clear to all now we have a lot of market clout and a lot of market respect. That’s nice, isn’t it? For good measure, the odds on lay of the day KENCELLA got nabbed on the line. Beautiful! A couple of Birds have now gone up at the bottom of the Guff for you. The prices won’t last. It’s funny, isn’t it? If someone told you that you could buy BHP shares today at $60 and they would be $100 by Friday, you’d buy as many as you could afford, wouldn’t you? Well Guff stock redefines the notion of blue chip. Just log on, back them both now and you’ll put yourself in a nice position come Saturday. The ole Guffmeister is sitting here with a six pack of Bavarian beer called Classe Royale, picked up this morning for $12.95. I’m listening to Curtis Mayfield doing the Carpenters’ “It’s only just begun”. It hasn’t been a bad day. Now don’t just sit there, go to it!

 

THE GUFF ARMY RISES TO PARTY!!!

A great day was had by all yesterday. Brain-dead Saffir Glynn Schofield did his best to spoil the party with a ride on THE ALFONSO that had to be seen to be believed. It should have won by a furlong, but they don’t pay on that. They did however pay on – and a handsome 10.8 at that – the maestro’s Brisvegas value bet BOREHOLE 10 minutes later. As the beer flowed and the boutique hamburgers and sliced pork did the rounds things started to look a lot better. The maestro followed up with DIVINE CITY, which he was very keen on at 6.0. A few found HOLY DELUSION at up to 32.0, a nice overlay given she was a 9.8 chance in our book. I think everyone enjoyed being able to meet fellow loyalists and I know a few of you exchanged details so you can keep in touch. Many thanks go to the great Guff loyalist Gazz, who plonked $500 on the bar, citing a boomer Spring for his generosity. A magnificent gesture and appreciated by all. The South African barmaid lost few admirers and there seemed to be concurrence that if the apartheid regime’s prohibition on miscegenation produced many specimens such as her, then they’ve been unfairly maligned. Thanks to everyone who came. I know quite a few of you couldn’t be there due to other commitments. It will be an annual event on our calendar now and we’ll attempt to give you a lot more notice next year. Just a word. I’ve got this eerie, uncanny, sixth sense kind of feeling that we’re about to enter a golden period, age of Aquarius-style, here at the Guff. The winners are going to flow mightily in the next few weeks. There, we’ve said it. You know us, when we say it we mean it. If you don’t cash in, you’ll only have yourself to blame. Thanks to all of you for making this everything that it is.

 

 THE GUFF SETS THE HOUSE ABLAZE AND IT IS ONLY WEDNESDAY!!!

The flying hooves of SOCIAL RANK(17.0) gave us a fabulous Wednesday to remember. We’ve had a lean run with the value bets while the best bets have been sweeping all before them. I’d like to think now that we’ve got leather on wood they’ll come in a flood. While the best bet bit the dust, quite a few of you contacted me to say you had something on the second rater ARROWETTE(19.0). Why not? Only  a fool wouldn’t have a saver on a horse rated 5.7 that was available at 19.0. As you probably guessed, that’s me. AT ALL COSTS(6.0) was a nice winner for us earlier in the day and we pretty much ignored the rest of the card. We’ve only got the one Bird up at this stage, but that’s predictably firmed appreciably already. Wouldn’t the stockmarket boys love guaranteed firmers like this? I’ll get back to you shortly from the city of churches. I don’t think they know what they’re in for. 

 

GUFF ARMY RISES!!!

Followers of the Guff Early Birds rained heavy blows down on the unfortunate skulls of the enemy, with WHITE SAGE (4.0 – 3.0) and GIRL IN FLIGHT (2.8 – 2.3) both getting the job done without a worry in the world. Judging by the emails and texts, it’s clear many of you thought this was the day to club one out of the ground for the Xmas turkey and the presents. Take a bow! FRESHWATER THE CREEK(15.5) was a delicious late overlay to complete a red letter day. It’s a lot of fun watching the corporates put their early prices up like frightened kittens. Like ole Roy Orbison said, “they’re runnin’ scared”.  I will finalise a date in January for the Day At The Races in the next day or two. I’d like definitive numbers now. While I’d hate to exclude anyone, we may need to limit the number of people in the room. Just to make it clear, this is on us. The Guff’s way of saying thank you. It’s going to be a wonderful day, so if you haven’t contacted us already to say you wish to attend do so as soon as you can.

 FILLS THE COFFERS FOR EARLY BIRD FOLLOWERS!!!

Those who climbed aboard the Early Bird train on Wednesday with Joe Pride’s TERRAVISTA got somewhere between 2.3 and 2.2 even after a deduction for a scratching – a far cry from the 1.55 dished up to the rank and file on raceday. As you know, we labelled THE ALFONSO on Wednesday and took 2.6 in the morning. That horse firmed to 1.4 by racetime. I’m not pretending for one moment that these market shifts are entirely due to the Guff Army – although clearly we have some influence. The corporate spies on our site are quick to turn the prices off for the ones we like and also it’s clear that our own views are often consonant with educated market opinion, making it inevitable that many of these will firm. But it’s not bad work when you’re getting a point over the odds at these prices. CORONATION SHALLAN(12.0) finished the day nicely for us yesterday. There were a couple of other good overlays during the day, including LORD WIMBLE(11.0). I’m kicking myself he didn’t get a mention in my spray but you only had to look at how he was priced to have something on him. Rotten luck with MOKORO scratched. Simply replacing it with ROMANCINGTHESTONE as the Melbourne best was too clever by half and while it won’t get you your money back, you have my most abject apologies. The maestro wouldn’t have let me do that if he’d been around. I need his steadying hand. But I fear his steadying hand is employed elsewhere right at the moment. We’re going okay. I’m sure the Xmas turkey and the insatiable wish lists of our loved ones will be well taken care of in the next few weeks. We’ll do our best.

 

THE ARMY RISES!!!

While we didn’t get any of the juicy-priced winners we need to make this carnival our own, as least the good things got home yesterday. MODERATE(2.2) and ANY DAY WILL DO(3.0) were very attractively priced when we put the Guff up and the Guff Army rose as one and knocked those prices down. SALON SOLDIER(3.1) got to magnificent odds and VITELLO(2.0) completed a quartet of horses we were extremely confident about winning. The fat ones will come. In fact, they will come tomorrow. I’m astonished at the quality of the fields for Oaks Day, traditionally the hardest day of the carnival. I will again try to get the Guff up sometime this evening, but it won’t be early so don’t hold your breath. There will be no Guff for Kyneton today. We can’t do it all and we’d like to concentrate on ensuring that tomorrow is everything it promises. Enjoy your day of rest.

 

 

CAULFIELD CUP DAY BELONGS TO GUFF LOYALISTS AS THE MAESTRO STARS UP NORTH!!!

The jamboree continues as the rolling juggernaut that is mid-Spring Guff rolled on Caulfield Cup day. While best bet SPURTONIC(3.4) won with a leg in the air, ARABIAN GOLD(3.5) was strongly touted and LIESELE(26.0) put the icing on a very nice cake. However, while the meeting down south attracted the cream of the horseflesh, the pelf is the same wherever you find it and what can we say about the northern maestro that hasn’t already been said –mostly by himself? Of the seven rated races (he left out the 2yo race) he’s tipped five winners. TRAJET(3.9), BELLTONE(3.4), ENQUARE(12.0), ANNA LIZZIE(2.2) and CAPE KIDNAPPERS(2.0). Alas, the best of the day ELMANTOSH was brought undone by a crowing Alan Thomas racecall, lowering the octave every time he mentioned the horse in the run and exhorting its backers to beat the rush to the bookies and head to the payout queue now. As we all know, they never win when a racecaller does that and the man should be taken out and summarily executed. As most of you know, we pride ourselves here at Guff headquarters on making Melbourne Cup week our own. We’ve got a war chest now and the enemy has every right to be very nervous. It should be interesting and we’re glad you are with us.

GUFF LOYALISTS ROCK THE RING ON THOUSAND GUINEAS DAY!!!

The jamboree that is the recent revival in our Spring fortunes continues unabated. COMPLICATE got to an astonishing 4.2 before reeling off another winner for the best bets. How nice it is to once again simply expect the good things to roll home for us. Kiwi mare ZONZA(4.0) was also pretty much declared, we advised a sneaky something on MUJADALE(11.0) and the first winner TIPS AND BEERS, while starting 7.5 was an astonishing 11.0 near the jump with our old friends at Bet365. So sad they’ve banned me and I can’t take it…Not bad for a horse rated 2.3. Even FRESTHWATER STORM(11.0) was a wee overlay (rated 7.9), although we’re not claiming him.  We weren’t mad keen on the Sydney meeting but MODERATE(2.4) and MY MAN OF WAR(4.4) were both good winners for us. The bottom line should have been very good for everyone. I’ll talk to the maestro about a couple of Early Birds shortly. Judging by the way my phone and email is humming there are plenty of you with itchy trigger fingers. Show your girls a good time tonight, relax and be merry, for on the weekend we work again. The waiting is ove

Subscribe

Why Join?

The Guff is the most profitable and entertaining website in the racing market. With a best bet winning strike rate of 40% and a profit on turnover figure in excess of 30%, the Guff provides the best punting information available.

Find Out More

What's the Guff?

The Guff is a twice weekly written analysis of Sydney and Melbourne horse racing. Written by a prominent Sydney professional punter it's primarily a punting tool designed to profit, provoke and entertain.

Find Out More

The Results

Since it's inception in April 2010 to August 2011 "The Guff" Best Bets have achieved a 36% winning strike rate for a 28% profit on turnover. No other service in the country comes close to this.

Find Out More


Notice: Use of undefined constant PUBLISHED - assumed 'PUBLISHED' in /home/theguffc/production/application/models/Tip.php on line 271